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Visual Depth Charts

This is a visual depth chart of where the talent is in baseball. I got the idea from Baseball Prospectus' Visual Depth Chart for major leaguers as seen here. I just used my own system, which is based on future projection and not necessarily this year, as BP's is. A team can be in the red at the MLB level and still have a good player at the position, it just means they are aging and shouldn't be relied on long term. You can then look at where the help is at the minor league level, if any.

I find this to be extremely valuable in seeing a teams strengths and weaknesses quickly.

I've been working on a system to value players. I've calculated how much value a player has based on their age of their MLB debut and position. The data is here. It shows that the earlier you make it to the majors, the more valuable you are. This is based on historical WAR. 

Using that idea as the basis, I decided to take it a step further. How much is a player worth after those first six seasons? How much should you sign a player to if he were on the open market at any time? How much is the 31 year old SS worth? I used historical data to calculate how quickly players regress using averages and standard deviation to create tiers. If you think a player is two deviations above average or a 70 player, (Robinson Cano for example) I can use this to calculate how much he will be worth over the remainder of his career using other 70 level second baseman, or any other position for that matter. 

I also added in my minor league probability research to create a system to value minor league players based on projected future success. 

To calculate this, I assigned a number to each player between 3 and 7 to represent expected MLB impact. This combined with age and level created a value for each player. The numbers represent what each group would be worth on the open market. The numbers are high because they are based on averages and not everyone will be average and pay off. Others will exceed their valuations, so it isn't perfect. Predictions are just educated guesses. This is my best guess for current valuation for the talent currently in baseball.


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Names to Watch for 2011 and 2012 Draft

For more information on the draft, check out my new blog MLB Bonus Baby for more information regarding the draft.

Over the next month or so, I will be moving most Draft related info to MLB Draft Prospects. MiLB Prospects will be more focused on current minor leaguers.

These lists are far from perfect but it's a start

Aaron Brown , OF , Chatsworth HS, Calif.
Aaron Westlake , OF , Vanderbilt
Aaron Collazo , SS , Lady Bird Johnson, San Antonio, TX
Aaron Deguire , C , El Camino College
Aaron Dunsmore , OF , Dayton
Aaron Fanning , SS , Northwest (TX) HS
Aaron Gretz , C , Apple Valley, Apple Valley, MN
Aaron Johnson , LHP , Dunham, Baton Rouge, LA
Aaron Knapp , MIF , Granite Bay Granite Bay CA
Aaron Moore , RHP , Westwood Austin TX
Aaron Nola , RHP , Catholic, Baton Rouge, LA
Aaron Novak , OF/RHP , Germantown Academy (PA)
Aaron Thomassen , RHP , Nathan Hale Seattle WA
Aaron Westlake , 1B/OF , Vanderbilt
Abram Cartledge , LHP , Thomson, Thomson, GA
Adam Bennett , SS/RHP , …

2017 MLB Draft Top Prospects

1Hagen DannerRHPHS2Ronald WashingtonOFHS4J.J. SchwarzCCollege5Turner LarkinsRHPCollege7Evan SkougCCollege8Keith WeisenbergRHPCollege9Bryce Montes De OcaRHPCollege11Pavin Smith1BCollege12David PetersonLHPCollege12Cobi JohnsonRHPCollege14Keaton McKinneyRHPCollege15Mitch HartRHPCollege16Jake GodfreyRHPCollege17Patrick MahomesRHPCollege18Nicholas PrattoLHPHS19Nolan (Nonie) WilliamsSSHS20Scott HurstCFCollege21Jacob BukauskasRHPCollege21Carl ChesterCFCollege22Jeren KendallCFCollege23Bennett SousaLHPCollege24C.J. MooreCFCollege25Griffin CanningRHPCollege25Alejandro Toral1BHS26Jordan ButlerLHPHS27Altoon ColemanRHPHS28Ben JordanRHPHS29Kel JohnsonRFCollege30Derek CaseyRHPCollege31Joseph Dunand3BCollege32Mark VientosSSHS33Bryce CarterCCollege34Hunter MilliganLHPHS35Alex LangeRHPCollege35Michael CantuCCollege36Tanner Burns3BHS37Jon LittellOFCollege38Zack ShannonOFCollege39Jeff HardingRHPCollege40Shane BenesOFCollege41Justin SmithCFCollege42Matt RuppenthalRHPCollege43K.J. HarrisonCCollege44Riley A…