Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Third Baseman By Age

The best way to analyze prospects is using their age in relation to the level they are playing at. Without taking too much of the level into account to start, I'll just be looking at age. I use a players age based on the date that MLB uses to define whether a player will be a draft eligible sophomore, because much of my analysis originates with a players drafted year. If a player is 26.01 on that date, he falls into the 26 year old age category. The age won't always match what is listed on Baseball Reference or FanGraphs but that is how I do it. If I don't have a players birthdate, I use the age listed on Baseball Reference.

The average time for a college third baseman to make it to the majors is 3.88 years. The average for a high school third baseman is 4.92 years. This time can be reduced if a player has a higher skill level. Elite players only take 2.9 years out of college and 3.92 out of high school. These are just averages. Third baseman are often impact bats that tend to move across the diamond at some point. They usually have the arm to move to RF and will move there if they are athletic.



Using stats from 2009-2013, here are the positional averages.

Position G AB PA H 2B 3B HR R RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG
Elite 3B 156 602 674 174 36 2 25 89 95 61 114 9 4 0.289 0.355 0.480
3B 128 457 510 124 25 2 16 60 64 44 89 5 2 0.271 0.338 0.440
BACKUP 3B 47 120 132 28 6 1 3 13 14 9 29 1 1 0.233 0.290 0.383


















This is to give perspective on how many MLB players come from each age group. I hope it shows how amazing even backup players are. You have to be a special player to make it to the majors and the best of the best to be good. Most ages only have 2 or 3 starter caliber players. It shows how much of a success it is for a team to develop a player to get them to the majors.

Age 25
Lonnie Chisenhall
Mike Moustakas
Will Middlebrooks
Mike Olt
Matt Skole
Joe Leonard
Zack Cox
Adam Duvall
Kolbrin Vitek

Age 24
Brett Lawrie
Cody Asche
Matt Dominguez
Josh Vitters
Ramon Morla
B.A. Vollmuth
D.J. Crumlich
Harold Martinez
Jason Esposito
Kyle Kubitza

Age 23
Matt Davidson
Nolan Arenado
Garin Cecchini
Cameron Perkins
Matt Reynolds
Christian Villanueva
Andrew Burns
Edinson Rincon
Edward Salcedo
Francisco Martinez
Jefry Marte
Jonathan Meyer
Juan Silverio
Seth Mejias-Brean
Jake Lamb
Yordy Cabrera
Dustin DeMuth

Age 22
Manny Machado
Nick Castellanos
Wilmer Flores
Kris Bryant
Kaleb Cowart
Nick Delmonico
Rangel Ravelo
D.J. Peterson
Eric Jagielo
Hunter Dozier
Giovanny Urshela
Drew Robinson
Gustavo Pierre
Patrick Wisdom
Carlos Franco
Kellen Sweeney
Chad Pinder

Age 21

Javier Baez
Miguel Sano
Maikel Franco
Patrick Leonard
Rosell Herrera
Travis Harrison
Matt Chapman
Joey Pankake
Alex Blandino
Taylor Sparks
Matthew Dean
Trevor Story
Dante Bichette
Mitch Walding
Avery Romero
Austin Davidson
Austin Slater
Austin Byler
Gabriel Rosa

Age 20

Joey Gallo
Renato Nunez
Carson Kelly
Jeimer Candelario
Sam Travis
Cody Gunter
Alex Santana
Mitch Nay
Ryder Jones
Gabriel Cenas
Kevin Ross
Yordi Calderon
Ty France
Joe Decarlo
Dylan LaVelle
Tanner Rahier
Fernando Perez
Hector Veloz
Xavier Turner
Eric Neitzel
Michael Gouge
Willie Schwanke
Javier Pimentel
Jose Rondon
Trey Williams

Age 19
Dorssys Paulino
Dawel Lugo
Drew Ward
Travis Demeritte
Jan Hernandez
Ryan Mcmahon
John Sternagel
Cavan Biggio
Andy McGuire
Tres Barrera
Juan Escarra
Nick Zammarelli
Ryder Ryan
Miguel Andujar
Pete Alonso
Nicholas Washington
Derek Rustich
Jhoan Urena
Kean Wong
Kevin Franklin
Trey Michalczewski
Ian Hagenmiller
Dylan Manwaring
Tucker Neuhaus
Mark Malave
Jae Roberts
Aldo Koutsoyanopulos
Preston Palmeiro
Danny Zardon
Ronnie Gideon
Joey Martarano

Age 18

Jacob Gatewood
Michael Chavis
Amaurys Minier
Nathanael Javier
Grofi Cruz
Jack Flaherty
Sean Bouchard
Montrell Marshall
Hunter Simmons
Jared Walker
Bobby Bradley
JJ Matijevic
Gustavo Cabrera
Julio De La Cruz
Joe Gillette
Samir Duenez
Lachlan Fontaine
Charlie Cody
JT Mauldin
Max Ponzurick
Jordan Pearce
Robert Byckowski

Age 17
Rafael Devers
Brendon Davis
Julian Infante
Ke'Bryan Hayes
Tyler Nevin
Roni Tapia
Greifer Andrade
Michael De Leon
Bryan Lizardo
Zach Remillard
Wesley Rodriguez
Ty Buck

Age 16
Luis Encarnacion
Bo Bichette
Joey Polak
Joe Skinner
Mason Templet
Rylan Thomas
Garrett Milchin
Spencer Steer
Anderson Franco
Blake Holliday
Manny Perez
Jordan McFarland
Arnaldo Brito
Conor Davis
Rankin Woley
Riley Hogan
Dylan Bohnert
Malique Foreman
Isaiah Kearns
Jake Holtzapple
Alex Vanderstok
Jay Wilson

Age 26-29
Evan Longoria
Kyle Seager
Pablo Sandoval
Pedro Alvarez
Josh Donaldson
Todd Frazier
Trevor Plouffe
Chris Johnson
Ryan Zimmerman
Brock Holt
Brandon Snyder
Conor Gillaspie
David Adams
Jeff Bianchi
Danny Worth
Luis Valbuena
Chris Nelson
Brandon Wood
Danny Valencia
Joaquin Arias
Ramiro Pena
Luis Jimenez
Zach Lutz

Age 30-33
David Wright
Miguel Cabrera
Martin Prado
Chase Headley
Alberto Callaspo
David Freese
Andy LaRoche
Donnie Murphy
Irving Falu
Paul Janish
Ed Lucas

Age 34+
Adrian Beltre
Aramis Ramirez
Gil Velazquez
Jack Hannahan
Michael Young
Juan Uribe
Kevin Youkilis
Pete Orr
Eric Chavez
Cody Ransom
Jerry Hairston Jr.
Placido Polanco
Alex Rodriguez


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