Sunday, March 3, 2013

2013 MLB Draft Top Prospects


Rank. Name, Pos, School, Level, Risk:
1. Ryne Stanek, RHP, Arkansas, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Potential for two plus-plus pitches
The Bad: High effort delivery.
2. Kris Bryant, 3B, San Diego, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Big power, good hit tool, good arm
The Bad: May be a 1B, so bat has to play
3. Clint Frazier, OF, Georgia HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Crazy tools, athletic
The Bad: Intensity could burn him out.
4. Sean Manaea, LHP, Indiana State, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Potential for two plus-plus pitches
The Bad: May be a RP if change doesn't improve
5. Colin Moran, 3B, North Carolina, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Polished bat with power coming
The Bad: Power may be average or below at 1B
6. Dominic Smith, 1B, California HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Huge power potential
The Bad: May be a 1B. Hitting mechanics need work.
7. Austin Wilson, OF, Stanford, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Elite power potential, big arm
The Bad: Hit tool needs work, could end up at 1B
8. Mark Appel, RHP, Stanford, SR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Potential for three plus pitches
The Bad: Too hittable for his stuff.
9. Jonathan Denney, C, Oklahoma HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Very good D, huge bat potential.
The Bad: He's a prep catcher in a deep class.
10. Justin Williams, OF, Louisiana HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Powerful, athletic, young.
The Bad: flaws in swing, throwing mechnics
11. Jonathan Gray, RHP, Oklahoma, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Upper 90's fastball and plus slider
The Bad: May be a reliever due to mechanics and lack of change up
12. Jonathan Crawford, RHP, Florida, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Upper 90's fastball and plus slider
The Bad: May be a reliever due to mechanics and lack of change up
13. Kohl Stewart, RHP, Texas HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Potential for three plus pitches
The Bad: Football
14. Joe Martarano, 3B, Idaho HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Plus arm, plus hit, plus power potential.
The Bad: Football
15. Bobby Wahl, RHP, Mississippi, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Plus fastball and breaking ball
The Bad: May be a reliever due to mechanics
16. Ian Clarkin, RHP, California HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: low 90's fastball and plus breaking ball
The Bad: Not as much projection as most HS arms.
17. Austin Meadows, OF, Georgia HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Elite tools across the board.
The Bad: The tools may not translate to baseball skills. Questionable hit tool.
18. Reese McGuire, C, Washington HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Premium defense, good potential with the bat.
The Bad: Hit tool is inconsistent
19. Chris Okey, C, Florida HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Very good bat, very athletic.
The Bad: Smaller build. Not much projectability.
20. John Paul Crawford, SS, California HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Potential with the bat, good defense.
The Bad: May have to move off SS to 2B/3B
21. Philip Ervin, OF, Samford, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Elite bat speed, above average speed
The Bad: May be a corner guy. No projection.
22. Robert Kaminsky, LHP, New Jersey HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Easy velocity, already commands it.
The Bad: Short. Minimal projection.
23. Zack Collins, 1B, Florida HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Middle of the order bat potential.
The Bad: Inconsistent at the plate. Likely a 1B
24. Dustin Driver, RHP, Washington HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Advanced for a prep arm.
The Bad: Not a lot of projection.
25. Jordan Sheffield, RHP, Tennesee HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Upper 90's fastball and plus breaking ball, good athlete.
The Bad: Inconsistent across the board.
26. Clinton Hollon, RHP, Kentucky HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Upper 90's fastball and plus breaking ball, good athlete.
The Bad: Nagging injuries have hindered him
27. Dillon Overton, LHP, Oklahoma, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Solid three pitch mix. Very good command.
The Bad: No dominant pitch.
28. Jan Hernandez, 3B, Puerto Rico HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Big potential with the bat, good defender
The Bad: Will need bat to play up at 3B
29. Trey Ball, OF, Indiana HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Nice swing, big arm, above average power potential.
The Bad: Raw. Not a lock to stay in CF. May be LHP.
30. Jeremy Martinez, C, California HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Above average hitter, potential .300+ guy, solid D
The Bad: body concerns, DH if catching ability falters
31. Oscar Mercado, SS, Florida HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Plus defender, potentially average hit tool, speed
The Bad: Bat is weak
32. Brett Morales, RHP, Florida HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Potential for two plus pitches
The Bad: Not a lot of projection. Potential reliever
33. D.J. Peterson, 3B, New Mexico, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: One of the best college bats this year, big power
The Bad: Not sure if he can stick at 3B. Bat influenced by park?
34. Aaron Judge, OF, Fresno State, JR, Risk: High
The Good: Elite power potential, good athlete
The Bad: Hasn't translated to games.
35. Kevin Davis, RHP, Alabama HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Mid 90's fastball, breaking ball flashes plus
The Bad: No change up to speak of. Minimal projection
36. Casey Shane, RHP, Texas HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Plus fastball with plus breaking ball.
The Bad: Delivery may need some work. Too many secondaries
37. Karsten Whitson, RHP, Florida, JR, Risk: High
The Good: Potential to have three plus pitches
The Bad: Shoulder surgery causes big concerns
38. Ryan Boldt, OF, Minnesota HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Potential. Plus speed, hit, defense.
The Bad: Raw tools. Needs development.
39. Marco Gonzales, LHP, Gonzaga, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Polish. Good three pitch mix. Plus Change.
The Bad: He is what he is. Minimal projection
40. Chris Rivera, SS, California HS, HS, Risk: Low
The Good: Good hitter, solid athlete, good up the middle defender
The Bad: May be a 2B. Not a lot of power.
41. Stephen Gonsalves, LHP, California HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Easy velocity. Two potentially plus offerings. Projection.
The Bad: Big enough to have release point issues. Inconsistent.
42. Conrad Gregor, 1B, Vanderbilt, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Great hitter. Good glove at 1B.
The Bad: Lack of current power.
43. Dominic Ficociello, 2B, Arkansas, JR, Risk: High
The Good: Gifted hitter, athletic.
The Bad: Attitude. Runs hot and cold. Not enough power for 1B
44. Billy McKinney, OF, Texas HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Nice swing, good power potential.
The Bad: No standout tools or skills.
45. Daniel Palka, OF, Georgia Tech, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Plus power, plus arm. Good athlete.
The Bad: May need to move to 1B. Won't hit for high average
46. Cord Sandberg, OF, Florida HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Tools to rival anyone in the draft.
The Bad: Raw. Football is his biggest weakness.
47. Jonah Wesely, LHP, California HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Plus fastball and breaking ball potential.
The Bad: Unusual arm action.
48. Trey Williams, 3B, JC of the Canyons, J1, Risk: High
The Good: Average or better tools across the board.
The Bad: No elite tools. Effort concerns. Mayhave to move to OF. 
49. Nick Ciuffo, C, South Carolina HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Powerful bat, good defense
The Bad: hit tool, arm accuracy
50. Ryan McMahon, 3B, California HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Easy swing. Above average power projection.
The Bad: Needs polish.
51. Andy McGuire, SS, Virginia HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Solid bat, average power, good defense
The Bad: Likely a 3B. Bat uncertain there
52. Kent Emanuel, LHP, North Carolina, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Pitchability. Plus changeup
The Bad: Current lack of velocity
53. Devin Williams, RHP, Missouri HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Mid 90's fastball with projectability
The Bad: Short track record
54. Jacoby Jones, OF, Louisiana State, JR, Risk: High
The Good: Above averge power, speed, arm
The Bad: Getting results from tools
55. Eric Jagielo, 3B, Notre Dame, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Above average power
The Bad: Defensive ability. May be a 1B
56. Garrett Williams, RHP, Louisiana HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Low 90's fastball with a solid breaking ball
The Bad: Past injury red flag (thoracic outlet syndrome surgery)
57. Travis Demeritte, 3B, Georgia HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Bat speed, power projection, arm strength
The Bad: Long swing. A lot of pre swing movement.
58. Tom Windle, LHP, Minnesota, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Three average pitches.
The Bad: No true out pitch.
59. A.J. Vanegas, RHP, Stanford, JR, Risk: High
The Good: Upper 90's velocity, plus slider potential.
The Bad: Mechanics cause control issues.
60. Chris Oakley, RHP, New Jersey HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Low 90's fastball. Plus curve potential. Projectability.
The Bad: No third pitch.
61. Chris Anderson, RHP, Jacksonville, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Low to mid 90's fastball, plus breaking ball
The Bad: Command needs work. Has been hittable
62. Ryan Eades, RHP, Louisiana State, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Plus fastball, flashed a plus curveball
The Bad: Inconsistent. Poor results for stuff.
63. Dylan Covey, RHP, San Diego, JR, Risk: High
The Good: Potential. Flashes three plus pitches.
The Bad: No consistency. Learning a new way of life (Type I Diabetes)
64. Carlos Salazar, RHP, California HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Big arm, up to 96. Developing secondaries.
The Bad: Harsh delivery. Short track record.
65. John Sternagel, 3B, Florida HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Great hitting ability. Average power, maybe more.
The Bad: Doesn't profile well at any position.
66. Matthew McPhearson, OF, Maryland HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Top of the lineup hitter. Game changing speed. Potential elite CF.
The Bad: Raw. Poor competition to compare him to.
67. Austin Kubitza, RHP, Rice, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Fastball and slider that flash plus
The Bad: Really inconsistent mechanics
68. Michael O'Neill, OF, Michigan, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Average tools across the board.
The Bad: No standout tools. Streaky.
69. Tyler Danish, RHP, Florida HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Big arm. Nice breaking ball. Bulldog attitude.
The Bad: Bulldog attitude.
70. Brian Ragira, 1B, Stanford, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Raw power, good bat. Strong arm.
The Bad: Limited to 1B. Slow runner. Needs swing work (Stanford)
71. Josh Hart, OF, Georgia HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Top of the lineup hitter, good defense
The Bad: May be a LF. Not a ton of power potential.
72. Derik Beauprez, RHP, Colorado HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Fresh arm. Low 90's fastball, plus change up.
The Bad: Short track record. May be a 1B.
73. Brian Navarreto, C, Florida HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Good power potential. Very solid behind the plate.
The Bad: Long swing.
74. Anfernee Grier, OF, Alabama HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Nice swing, plus speed, good arm
The Bad: Swing can get long. Will likely strike out a lot.
75. Michael Lorenzen, OF, Cal State Fullerton, JR, Risk: High
The Good: Tools upon tools.
The Bad: Raw for a college player. Not sure if he's a pitcher of OF.
76. Dan Child, RHP, Oregon State, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Big arm. Developing secondaries.
The Bad: Doesn't use size wel at all. No projection.
77. Colby Suggs, RHP, Arkansas, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Two above average MLB pitches now. Could help quickly.
The Bad: Not a lot of potential past what he is
78. Keegan Thompson, RHP, Alabama HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Two potential plus pitches. Average change. Athletic.
The Bad: Needs consistency.
79. Jason Hursh, RHP, Oklahoma State, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Upper 90's fastball. Potential in secondaries. Helium guy.
The Bad: Recovering from TJ Surgery.
80. Alex Balog, RHP, California HS, JR, Risk: High
The Good: Big fastball in upper 90's, plus slider. Helium guy.
The Bad: Inexperience and inconsistency
81. Teddy Stankiewicz, RHP, Seminole State, J1, Risk: High
The Good: Plus fastball and breaking ball potential.
The Bad: Change needs work. Breaking ball needs consistency.
82. Trevor Williams, RHP, Arizona State, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Low to mid 90's fastball. Nice breaking ball.
The Bad: No out pitch. Likely reliever.
83. Hunter Renfroe, OF, Mississippi State, JR, Risk: High
The Good: Huge power potential, big arm
The Bad: Inconsistent in all aspects. Position questions
84. A.J. Puk, LHP, Iowa HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Two plus pitch potential. Projection.
The Bad: Needs refinement across the board.
85. Cavan Biggio, 3B, Texas HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Plus hit tool.
The Bad: Hate the bat waggle. Not sure where he plays defensively
86. Aaron Blair, RHP, Marshall, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Plus fastball and change potential
The Bad: Breaking ball needs work.
87. Terry McClure, OF, Georgia HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Plus runner, good bat.
The Bad: Swing is long.
88. Rowdy Tellez, 1B, California HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Massive power potential
The Bad: Very long swing. Needs to watch his weight.
89. Kevin Ziomek, LHP, Vanderbilt, JR, Risk: High
The Good: Three pitch mix. Plus change
The Bad: Mechanics are bad. Likely reliever.
90. Connor Jones, RHP, Virginia HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Plus fastball. Average change and breaking ball
The Bad: Secondaries and mechnics need improvement.
91. Willie Abreu, OF, Florida HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Polished bat with power potential.
The Bad: Long swing. Likely a corner OF.
92. Scott Frazier, RHP, Pepperdine, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Solid fastball, developing secondaries.
The Bad: Needs to improve secondaries. Not much upside.
93. Jared King, OF, Kansas State, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Average bat, power, speed
The Bad: Corner OF, may end up at 1B. No projection
94. Sheldon Neuse, 3B, Texas HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Solid hitter, average power, good arm
The Bad: No solid defensive profile
95. Tyler Alamo, C, California HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Strong bat. Big power potential.
The Bad: Size will work against him behind the dish.
96. K.J. Woods, OF, South Carolina HS, HS, Risk: Extreme
The Good: Big power potential
The Bad: May end up at 1B. Needs work on swing.
97. Dale Carey, OF, Miami, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Solid bat, solid CF
The Bad: may be a 4th OF'er
98. Nick Longhi, 1B, Florida HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Bat is very good. Left arm is strong.
The Bad: Heavy feet. May not have bat at 1B. May be LHP.
99. Carson Baranik, RHP, Miami Dade, J2, Risk: High
The Good: Big arm up to 95, plus breaking ball
The Bad: Off field issues. Needs to watch his weight.
100. Kramer Robertson, SS, Texas HS, HS, Risk: High
The Good: Very good defensive SS
The Bad: Bat is a work in progress

11 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hunter May RHP UNCC, moving up on everyones list. 90MPH FB, ++CU and off speed, +CB

Matt Garrioch said...

Hunter is nowhere near a top 100 prospect.

Anonymous said...

Didn't say Hunter had reached the top 100 yet, I said he was moving up on everyones list.

Anonymous said...

Can you give me your thoughts on the SS from East Carolina, Reinheimer. He is on the radar of most MLB clubs as of right now.

Anonymous said...

I've seen Jack Reinheimer play on many occasions. He has worked hard on his fielding during the off season and its showing with fewer errors so far this season. Would like to see him improve his On Base Percentage being a lead off batter. Good compact swing with some flashes of power. Covers the middle of the field well. Gets rid of the ball quickly and shows good arm strength.

Anonymous said...

Your missing a under the radar RHP from Illinois State Dan Savas. Redshirt last year, TJ Surgery. 89-91 FB that moves well..Never quits on the mound. Stats are close to as good as any top pitcher in the MVC.

Anonymous said...

Judge has translated to games, not his fault he gets pitched around dude is gonna be a stud in the Show

Anonymous said...

Where do you see Reinheimer in the draft?

Anonymous said...

I have studied the stats from east cobb and other venues and find that JP Crawford, Andy McGuire, and Weston Wilson to be the hs kids that have the best potential as hitters and defenders at the SS position. R Unroe also is in the top 5.

Anonymous said...

Alec Friedman Pinnacle HS Arizona is a top 10 Catcher. 1.89 pop, pure Catching skills, gap power. Hit over .400 for top div H.S. hits opo better than anyone I've seen

Anonymous said...

I agree with the guy that talked about Dan Savas, He went 10-0 this year, 100&1/3 innings pitched, 4 complete games, 2 solo shut outs, 2 combined, and 1.79 ERA, the thing is he would have had more complete game shutouts but his coaches repeatedly took him out for the ninth and the bullpen proceeded to let up a run or two, really take a solid look at this kid, he has a nasty curveball and a low 90's fastball

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