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Showing posts from February, 2013

College Baseball Weekend Notes 2-25-13

Carlos Rodon looked good enough to lose 100 games this season just for the chance to draft him. He pitched 7 no-hit innings against La Salle. He K’d 14 and walked one. All I saw was a poor video feed but there is no doubt in my mind that, right now, he is the slam dunk 1st overall pick next season. Don Olsen (@olsen_don) noted that he was 92-94 with hard tailing FB and his slider had good tilt and bite to it. Sounds like his semi-rough first start was a fluke.
Cody Poteet looked good against Baylor. The numbers weren't great. The stuff was inconsistent but he showed a very impressive breaking ball. It was an unhittable pitch at times. He is a player that could make a serious impact at UCLA over the next few years and could be a top pick in the 2015 draft.
Trea Turner was also his impressive self. He is the most exciting player in NCAA baseball right now. He can hit, run and plays solid defense. He is fun to watch.
I watched more of was Florida Gulf Coast at Florida. Taylor Gushue …

MLB in an Alternate Universe Part II

The top 10 picks in the 2014 draft:

Bryce HarperOF
South CarolinaDylan BundyP
TexasJose FernandezP
South FloridaCarlos RodonP
North Carolina StateArchie BradleyP
OklahomaJosh BellOF
TexasBrandon NimmoOF
ArkansasDaniel NorrisP
ClemsonNoah SyndergaardP
Dallas BaptistDaniel Vogelbach1B

Top 10 picks for the other draft:

Jurickson ProfarSS20Javier Baez3B20Taijuan WalkerP20Xander BogaertsSS20Miguel Sano3B20Alen Hanson2B20Gary SanchezC20Luis SardinasSS20Domingo SantanaOF20David PerezP20
Just think how quickly the top 4 teams would turn around if they would get one player from each group. Obviously all the teams would get helped by the draft but could you imagine a team getting Harper and Profar for being the worst team in baseball. Bundy and Walker for being 2nd worst. Rodon and Sano for being 3rd, that would get people excited for being bad wouldn't it.

I think the draft would be a big deal when they watched Rodon face Harper all season, then face each other in the bigs the next…

MLB in an Alternate Universe

So I've been thinking..I'm always thinking. I can't turn my brain off as long as I'm awake, so I followed my crazy idea.

What if MLB was a little more like NFL with it's developmental system. What if NCAA baseball was a big deal and most of the prospects that make an impact were in the NCAA? Most players would have to be at least 21 to play in the majors. Maybe even 22. This would hurt some guys. Bryce Harper, Mike Trout and others wouldn't make impacts in the majors. Mike Trout would be patrolling CF for East Carolina. Bryce Harper would be in RF, maybe even catcher for South Carolina. The OF would have Mason Williams, Jackie Bradley and Wil Myers. A pitching staff with Taylor Guerreri, Jordan Lyles and Chris Owings at SS. Hell yeah, that would be fun to watch. I'm confident they wouldn't even be ranked #1. The players coming out of college would make an immediate impact. They would be placed on the 40 man roster (may need to bump up to 50, I haven'…

2013 MLB Draft Top Prospects

Rank. Name, Pos, School, Level, Risk: 1. Ryne Stanek, RHP, Arkansas, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Potential for two plus-plus pitches
The Bad: High effort delivery. 2. Kris Bryant, 3B, San Diego, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Big power, good hit tool, good arm
The Bad: May be a 1B, so bat has to play 3. Clint Frazier, OF, Georgia HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Crazy tools, athletic
The Bad: Intensity could burn him out. 4. Sean Manaea, LHP, Indiana State, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Potential for two plus-plus pitches
The Bad: May be a RP if change doesn't improve 5. Colin Moran, 3B, North Carolina, JR, Risk: Low
The Good: Polished bat with power coming
The Bad: Power may be average or below at 1B 6. Dominic Smith, 1B, California HS, HS, Risk: Medium
The Good: Huge power potential
The Bad: May be a 1B. Hitting mechanics need work. 7. Austin Wilson, OF, Stanford, JR, Risk: Medium
The Good: Elite power potential, big arm
The Bad: Hit tool needs work, could end up at 1B 8. Mark Appel, RHP, Stanford, SR, Risk: Medium

Jose Canseco Projection

"so bigness could develop and dominate."

As I've posted, I'm working on a projection system. It takes three seasons worth of minor league data to get a good handle on who a player is, though less can create a projection, just with a larger variance.

This is what I would my projection system created for Professor Canseco using his AA, Hi A and Short season data from his 18, 19, 20 year old seasons.

The top lines are projections for the range of where a player is likely to end up. The middle is the most likely but if you really like a player, aim toward the higher level. The career projection is not the most accurate but how can you project a career for a 20 year old, right? It's an educated guess and a ballpark as to whether the system likes a player or not.
The percentages are how likely a player is to max out at that level. Canseco is an example of a low risk prospect with a high likelihood of success. The second chart is how likely a player is to continue to pl…

Out Of The Park Baseball 14

OOTP is the deepest and most realistic Baseball Game I have ever played. This year they have made a ton of improvements to an already great game to make it even more realistic. If you enjoy simulation baseball, its as good as it gets. If you want a phenomenal game and would like to support MLBPG, click the link on the right side bar and order the game through my site and I get a small commission. Everyone who pre-orders OOTP 14 by this Friday, Feb. 15. will save $5 ($34.99) and will be entered in a drawing to win a 64GB iPod touch or one of three $100 Amazon gift cards. They'll also get the game 3 days before its release in April. OOTP 14 Features Here are the new and revamped features you'll find in OOTP 14. As in past years, more surprise features will likely be added as we get closer to Opening Day. Stay tuned! 2013 Opening Day Major League Rosters You'll love our 2013 roster set, which features not only up-to-date Opening Da…