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Rays and Royals Trade

Trading youth is not something that I am often if favor of. This is a time that I think I do. Having Wil Myers, the Minor League player of the year by Baseball America, ready to step in and help the MLB team is a huge asset.

Valuing assets is what makes average teams better than average. If a team values the next six years of Wil Myers and Jake Odorizzi at the value of one of the more consistent arms in the A.L.,James Shields as well as a dominant reliever or good starter Wade Davis, I understand pulling the trigger.

This gives the Royals two good starters. Both are better than Jeremy Guthrie that they will be paying at least $25 million over the next 3 years. If the Royals can put up some offense and with their new pitching rotation, they could compete in the A.L. Central. With that, they may be able to acquire better talent to add to their youth as it develops, because they have another wave of talent coming.

This is just a boost to jump ahead a year or two. It comes at a cost, but what is that cost. No one knows what Mike Montgomery is or will be. He could be good or we may have seen the best of him already. Odorizzi may not be any better than Wade Davis. A back of the rotation starter or a reliever. Myers could be a solid RF that could be a 3+ win a year player but my bet is that he will produce 6 or 7 wins over the next 6 years before hitting his stride. Patrick Leonard is the wild card here. Players with his profile have turned into first division starters and stars. There is a chance of that.

To me the cost is Montgomery and Leonard. Is that worth not pulling this trigger? I don't think so.
Davis and Shields could put up as much value over the time they are currently signed than Myers, Odorizzi and the rest put up in Rays uniforms and Davis and Shields will do it NOW. There is value in that.
IF the Royals compete this year and have a solid pitching rotation next year, maybe then they have a shot at landing a free agent bat they wouldn't have in the past without over paying. What is that worth? This trade only has proper value is they use this to build the MLB team correctly. That is a daunting challenge for KC.

I like this deal a lot for the Royals. It's the cost of building from the bottom up. It will upset fans and may come back to haunt them but it may be a catalyst to move the Royals up in the standings and make them a contender again.

I like the Rays get here as well. Again it all depends on how you value it. The way the Rays operate, it could work well for them too and a 7 year, 22 million dollar deal would await Myers from his agent if I were the Rays GM.

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Over the next month or so, I will be moving most Draft related info to MLB Draft Prospects. MiLB Prospects will be more focused on current minor leaguers.

These lists are far from perfect but it's a start

2011
Aaron Brown , OF , Chatsworth HS, Calif.
Aaron Westlake , OF , Vanderbilt
Aaron Collazo , SS , Lady Bird Johnson, San Antonio, TX
Aaron Deguire , C , El Camino College
Aaron Dunsmore , OF , Dayton
Aaron Fanning , SS , Northwest (TX) HS
Aaron Gretz , C , Apple Valley, Apple Valley, MN
Aaron Johnson , LHP , Dunham, Baton Rouge, LA
Aaron Knapp , MIF , Granite Bay Granite Bay CA
Aaron Moore , RHP , Westwood Austin TX
Aaron Nola , RHP , Catholic, Baton Rouge, LA
Aaron Novak , OF/RHP , Germantown Academy (PA)
Aaron Thomassen , RHP , Nathan Hale Seattle WA
Aaron Westlake , 1B/OF , Vanderbilt
Abram Cartledge , LHP , Thomson, Thomson, GA
Adam Bennett , SS/RHP , …

Top 300- 2010 MLB Draft Prospects

Name POS Schools
1 Bryce Harper C Southern Nevada CC
2 Jameson Taillon RHP The Woodlands (Texas) HS
3 Anthony Ranaudo P LSU
4 Drew Pomeranz LHP Mississippi
5 Nick Castellanos 3B Archbishop McCarthy HS, FLA
6 Bryce Brentz OF Middle Tennessee State
7 AJ Cole P Oviedo HS, Orlando
8 Zack Cox 3B Arkansas
9 Austin Wilson OF Harvard-Westlake HS, CA
10 Deck McGuire RHP Georgia Tech
11 Karsten Whitson RHP Chipley HS, Bartow, Fla.
12 Christian Colon SS Cal State Fullerton
13 Matt Harvey P North Carolina
14 Levon Washington 2B/OF Chipola JC
15 Manny Machado SS Brito Prep, Miami
16 Josh Sale OF Bishop Blanchet HS, SEA
17 Chris Sale LHP Florida Gulf Coast
18 Jedd Gyorko 2B West Virginia
19 Brandon Workman P Texas
20 Stetson Allie 3B St. Edward HS, Lakewood, Ohio
21 Brian Ragira OF Martin HS, Arlington
22 Dylan Covey P Maranatha HS, Pasadena, CA
23 Derek Dietrich SS Georgia Tech
24 DeAndre Smelter P Tattnall Square GA
25 Kevin Gausman RHP Grandview HS, Aurora, Colo
26 Cameron Bedrosian P East Coweta HS, Sharpsburg, GA
27 Jos…