Friday, December 28, 2012

Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Prospect Percentages

Below are all the pitchers and hitters in the Arizona Diamondbacks Organization and the percentages of reaching the majors based on similar players over the past two decades via information provided to me by The Baseball Cube. It is sorted by the group percentage. The second percentage is based on a more specific group of players that are similar to the player. The list is sorted by the larger group, the second percentage gives a bit more insight into how likely the player is to succeed or fail.

I won't be posting every team. I want to create a PDF of all the teams along with more of my information and sell it. If you are interested in such a product email me at MLBprospectguide at gmail.com and let me know and I will add you to the list and I will let you know when it is ready. I'm looking at a $9.99 sale price for all 30 teams and I would sell teams individually if you are interested.

Name age SP/RP Group Unique Level League Team
Trevor Bauer 21 SP 62.71% 100.00% AAA PCL Reno
Patrick Corbin 23 SP 62.71% 98.04% AAA PCL Reno
Tyler Skaggs 21 SP 47.89% 88.68% AAA PCL Reno
Charles Brewer 24 SP 44.24% 80.84% AAA PCL Reno
Zach Kroenke 28 SP 41.61% AAA PCL Reno
Joe Martinez 29 SP 41.61% AAA PCL Reno
Chris Jakubauskas 33 SP 36.05% AAA PCL Reno
Daniel Cabrera 31 SP 34.55% AAA PCL Reno
Brett Tomko 39 SP 30.99% AAA PCL Reno
Tom Layne 27 SP 24.60% 74.82% AAA PCL Reno
Bryan Henry 27 SP 24.60% 74.82% AAA PCL Reno
Barry Enright 26 SP 24.60% 69.02% AAA PCL Reno
Matt Gorgen 25 RP 22.21% 75.54% AAA PCL Reno
Sam Demel 26 RP 20.33% 76.92% AAA PCL Reno
Jonathan Albaladejo 29 RP 20.33% AAA PCL Reno
Joe Paterson 26 RP 16.40% 69.02% AAA PCL Reno
Jensen Lewis 28 RP 16.40% AAA PCL Reno
Jason Lane 35 RP 16.40% AAA PCL Reno
Mike Demark 29 RP 16.40% AAA PCL Reno
Bryan Woodall 25 RP 13.72% 53.06% AAA PCL Reno
Taylor Sinclair 26 RP 8.79% 38.46% AAA PCL Reno
Tyler Skaggs 21 SP 62.71% 90.20% AA Sou Mobile
Trevor Bauer 21 SP 56.73% 83.33% AA Sou Mobile
David Holmberg 21 SP 47.89% 64.39% AA Sou Mobile
Eury De La Rosa 22 RP 44.04% 81.82% AA Sou Mobile
Conrad Flynn 23 SP 40.00% 50.00% AA Sou Mobile
Derek Eitel 24 SP 36.89% 29.69% AA Sou Mobile
Brett Lorin 25 SP 36.89% 29.47% AA Sou Mobile
Patrick Corbin 23 SP 36.81% 42.75% AA Sou Mobile
Bradin Hagens 23 SP 36.81% 42.75% AA Sou Mobile
Brett Tomko 39 SP 33.33% AA Sou Mobile
Kevin Munson 23 RP 31.88% 52.00% AA Sou Mobile
Chase Anderson 24 SP 31.73% 41.06% AA Sou Mobile
Michael Bolsinger 24 SP 31.73% 41.06% AA Sou Mobile
Charles Brewer 24 SP 30.77% 33.33% AA Sou Mobile
Bryan Henry 27 SP 24.60% 33.06% AA Sou Mobile
Gaby Hernandez 26 SP 24.60% 24.35% AA Sou Mobile
Matt Gorgen 25 RP 24.49% 56.25% AA Sou Mobile
Eric Smith 23 RP 23.27% 33.04% AA Sou Mobile
Evan Marshall 22 RP 22.41% 58.74% AA Sou Mobile
Bryan Woodall 25 RP 16.40% 24.23% AA Sou Mobile
Bo Schultz 27 RP 14.50% 40.00% AA Sou Mobile
Taylor Sinclair 26 RP 14.50% 38.17% AA Sou Mobile
Yonata Ortega 25 RP 13.72% 16.60% AA Sou Mobile
David Holmberg 21 SP 62.71% 62.77% A+ Calif Visalia
Anthony Meo 22 SP 53.85% 40.00% A+ Calif Visalia
Patrick Schuster 21 RP 51.79% 54.05% A+ Calif Visalia
Michael Bolsinger 24 SP 41.50% 27.91% A+ Calif Visalia
Raymond Hernandez 24 SP 36.89% 13.53% A+ Calif Visalia
Andrew Chafin 22 SP 36.84% 38.81% A+ Calif Visalia
Blake Cooper 24 RP 35.12% 27.91% A+ Calif Visalia
Taylor Siemens 23 SP 31.73% 22.81% A+ Calif Visalia
Alexander Carreras 22 SP 30.00% 0.00% A+ Calif Visalia
Seth Simmons 24 RP 28.57% 23.08% A+ Calif Visalia
Jeff Shields 22 SP 27.91% 0.00% A+ Calif Visalia
Michael Belfiore 23 RP 27.23% 35.10% A+ Calif Visalia
Bradin Hagens 23 SP 27.21% 16.35% A+ Calif Visalia
Willy Paredes 23 SP 24.60% 8.70% A+ Calif Visalia
Conrad Flynn 23 SP 24.60% 8.70% A+ Calif Visalia
Kyle Winkler 22 RP 23.27% 18.41% A+ Calif Visalia
Victor Capellan 23 RP 20.33% 0.00% A+ Calif Visalia
Diogenes Rosario 24 RP 19.41% 21.74% A+ Calif Visalia
Jeremy Erben 25 RP 19.41% 13.33% A+ Calif Visalia
Eric Smith 23 RP 16.44% 11.24% A+ Calif Visalia
Bo Schultz 27 RP 16.40% 13.10% A+ Calif Visalia
D.J. Johnson 23 RP 14.32% 33.33% A+ Calif Visalia
Tyler Green 20 SP 59.25% 41.35% A Midw South Bend
J.R. Bradley 20 SP 59.25% 41.35% A Midw South Bend
Archie Bradley 20 SP 56.73% 41.27% A Midw South Bend
Grant Brown 20 SP 56.73% 41.27% A Midw South Bend
Jesse Darrah 22 SP 44.24% 26.30% A Midw South Bend
Jeff Shields 22 SP 31.73% 16.21% A Midw South Bend
D.J. Johnson 23 RP 27.23% 22.14% A Midw South Bend
Kable Hogben 22 RP 26.21% 16.21% A Midw South Bend
Willy Paredes 23 RP 26.21% 14.11% A Midw South Bend
Taylor Siemens 23 SP 24.60% 7.74% A Midw South Bend
Conrad Flynn 23 SP 24.60% 7.74% A Midw South Bend
John Pedrotty 22 SP 24.60% 5.98% A Midw South Bend
Keith Hessler 23 SP 22.89% 6.86% A Midw South Bend
Andrew Barbosa 24 SP 22.45% 7.69% A Midw South Bend
Blake Perry 20 RP 22.09% 12.28% A Midw South Bend
Jake Barrett 21 RP 20.59% 15.16% A Midw South Bend
Seth Simmons 24 RP 19.41% 7.69% A Midw South Bend
Alex Capaul 23 RP 16.40% 7.74% A Midw South Bend
Matt Sample 24 RP 16.40% 7.11% A Midw South Bend
Frank Santana 23 RP 14.50% 7.04% A Midw South Bend
Kaleb Fleck 23 RP 13.72% 6.86% A Midw South Bend
Austin Platt 20 SP 36.06% 11.68% A- Nwst Yakima
Will Locante 22 RP 34.45% 17.44% A- Nwst Yakima
Alex Capaul 23 SP 33.33% 4.20% A- Nwst Yakima
Enrique Burgos 21 RP 31.88% 10.71% A- Nwst Yakima
Blake Perry 20 SP 31.73% 15.87% A- Nwst Yakima
Jose Martinez 18 SP 31.48% 46.15% A- Nwst Yakima
Daniel Watts 22 SP 24.60% 7.52% A- Nwst Yakima
Kyle Owings 22 SP 24.60% 7.52% A- Nwst Yakima
Alexander Carreras 22 SP 24.60% 7.52% A- Nwst Yakima
Cody Wheeler 23 SP 24.60% 5.03% A- Nwst Yakima
Derrick Stultz 23 SP 24.60% 5.03% A- Nwst Yakima
Jose Jose 22 RP 24.49% 17.44% A- Nwst Yakima
Victor Capellan 23 RP 20.33% 8.89% A- Nwst Yakima
Frank Santana 23 RP 17.05% 3.49% A- Nwst Yakima
Victor Acosta 22 RP 16.40% 7.52% A- Nwst Yakima
R.J. Hively 23 RP 14.50% 4.20% A- Nwst Yakima
Blake Forslund 22 RP 13.72% 5.94% A- Nwst Yakima
Ben Eckels 18 SP 62.71% 38.10% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Andrew Potter 18 SP 47.89% 22.28% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Jonathan Pulley 19 SP 41.50% 22.97% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Austin Platt 20 SP 41.50% 18.56% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Geordy Parra 19 SP 31.73% 13.50% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Luis Hernandez 20 SP 31.73% 9.30% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Donny Medlinger 22 RP 27.23% 11.11% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Will Locante 22 RP 27.23% 11.11% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Tanner Hamilton 23 RP 20.33% 7.79% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Eric Meyerchick 22 RP 16.40% 5.44% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Jeffrey Gibbs 21 RP 14.50% 6.75% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Francisco Guzman 23 RP 14.50% 1.64% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Harry Marino 22 RP 14.32% 4.85% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Elroy Urbina 23 RP 13.72% 1.69% RK Ariz Diamondbacks
Chris Pack 25 SP 36.05% 20.00% RK Pio Missoula
Karl Triana 19 SP 31.73% 13.50% RK Pio Missoula
Andrew Barbosa 24 SP 30.14% 12.73% RK Pio Missoula
Justin Thompson 22 RP 27.23% 11.11% RK Pio Missoula
Vince Spilker 22 RP 27.23% 11.11% RK Pio Missoula
Christopher Thomas 22 SP 24.60% 5.44% RK Pio Missoula
Yoimer Camacho 22 SP 24.60% 5.44% RK Pio Missoula
Ross Gerdeman 22 SP 24.60% 5.44% RK Pio Missoula
Jared Ray 23 SP 24.60% 0.78% RK Pio Missoula
Michael Rivera 21 RP 17.05% 20.00% RK Pio Missoula
Chris Capper 21 RP 16.40% 5.95% RK Pio Missoula
Patrick Smith 22 RP 16.40% 5.44% RK Pio Missoula
Dexter Price 22 RP 16.40% 5.44% RK Pio Missoula
Chase Stevens 22 RP 14.32% 4.85% RK Pio Missoula
Michael Blake 22 RP 14.32% 4.85% RK Pio Missoula



3 comments:

  1. So Bauer has a 100% chance of reaching his ceiling, and corbin has a 98% chance of reaching his?

    ReplyDelete
  2. More that they are both that likely to make it to the majors. The higher the second number the more likely they are to be successful, but there is no guarantee that anyone will reach their ceiling. Skaggs is in the same area. Very high likelihood of success.
    Looking at the other numbers, Holmberg is likely to make the majors as is Archie Bradley and Ben Eckels should be in the next wave.

    ReplyDelete
  3. wow...what a waste of time and $.

    ReplyDelete