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Showing posts from November, 2012

2010 Astros Shadow Draft Review

Looking at my Shadow Draft from 2010 is a little clearer today than it was yesterday with BA's college top 100 going up today. My first unsigned pick was the #4 overall pick from 2012 in Kevin Gausman, since he was a draft eligible sophomore. The rest are eligible in the 2013 draft. Eight of the players that didn't sign out of my draft are now top 100 college players. 5 are in the top 25 and Kevin Gausman would be on this list as well had he not signed last year.
I personally like some of these guys more than other prospecting venues, so using BA's list will take out my personal preferences. Doing this review prior to their list wouldn't have given it the credibility I hoped it to have. 

Austin Wilson, OF, STL 
Kris Bryant, 3B, TOR 

Jacoby Jones, SS, HOU 
Dale Carey, OF, PIT
Brian Ragira, OF, TEX 

Daniel Child, P, SD
Lonnie Kauppila, SS, OAK
Jonathan Crawford, P, FLA

Other Prospect of note:
Kevin Gausman, P, LAD
Nick Castellanos, 3B, DET
A.J. Cole, P, OAK
Garin Cecchini, SS, BOS

Alen Hanson

He burst on to the scene this year. I was looking for some other players that had similar seasons. The list is pretty impressive with further emphasis on the fact that prospecting is difficult.

1991Chipper Jones 2000Hank Blalock 1992Cliff Floyd 2003Erick Aybar 2012Alen Hanson 2011Christian Yelich 2003B.J. Upton 1998Luis Matos 1991Rondell White 2003Hanley Ramirez 2008Nick Noonan 1991Darren Burton 2006Cameron Maybin 1998Darnell McDonald 2008Abraham Almonte 1999Tyler Minges 2007Brent Brewer

Future Plans

Right now I'm working through some personal stuff but I should have more information up here over the coming couple months as well as more information available elsewhere.

This year I will be selling two different PDF files. One will focus on the draft, detailing, I hope, about 120 players. It will have a few other articles about things I find interesting about the draft. It might be about JuCo players, it may be on players ages, I'm not sure yet. It will be good information that will make you a better fantasy player going forward. It will make you enjoy the MLB draft more and hopefully help you follow the top prospects of your favorite team.

The other will be about the minors. It will be similar to the PDF that I put out last year with percentages of how likely a player is to make it to the majors. It will detail what kind of player each is likely to become. I'm not sure how I will present it or even what I will present yet beyond those two things. I'm still doing the…

Colin Moran, 1B/3B, North Carolina

Brian Ragira, 1B/OF, Stanford

College Junior

Bats/Throws: Right/Right
HT/WT: 6'2"/205
Birthdate: 1/22/92 Age at Draft: 21.51
Ragira is a long, lean player. 

Stanford Baseball Profile
Perfect Game Profile
Dallas News Article Article
College Baseball Daily Article
Baseball Prospect Report

Abner Abreu

I remember when I thought he was going to be really good. Well, the stats said he would too, but it was  a consistent fall from grace.2008

Abner Abreu
Star Type2009

Abner Abreu
2nd Division Starter2010

Abner Abreu
Bench Player2011
Abner Abreu
2nd Division Starter2011

Abner Abreu
4A Slugger2012

Abner Abreu

A Case for Aaron Hicks

Hicks has been looked at as a failing prospect for the last couple years. This year he turned it around some but even looking at his 2011 numbers, there are some pretty solid players that had very similar seasons.

All of these guys had the same skill profile in high A at 21.
1994Mike Cameron1995Magglio Ordonez1997Carlos Lee1997Ramon Hernandez2005Nick Markakis1999Marcus Giles2003Shin-Soo Choo2007Pablo Sandoval1995Bobby Estalella1993Tony Graffanino2001Bill Hall1999Juan Rivera2002Rocco Baldelli

Statistical Update

I received a large amount of data from The Baseball Cube a few days ago and I am tearing through it right now using formulas I've created from past studies. This is by far the largest lump of clay I have ever had to work with and it's fun but time consuming.
I had been holding back on my lists until I could work on this some. I think within a week or two I will start posting team and age lists for the offseason.

I will also continue doing draft reports when I don't feel like burying myself in data so stay tuned.