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The 5 Tool Player

There was a 16 year old dominican in 2006 that I thought was a potential 5 tool guy. I knew he would lack power but for a shortstop, I thought he could have enough pop to be a good hitter for the position. His defense was stellar and would get him to the bigs quick. His speed was solid average, his contact was 55-60. He was a solid 53-55 type of player. This is a 5 tool player to me. Solid average to slightly above across the board. This is a guy that would have been a 1st rounder or a supplemental pick in the draft if he weren't an international guy.
This guy made it to the bigs by 20 years old, has 896 MLB AB's and has hit .271/.338/.336 in those AB's. He has 3.3 career WAR over these 3 partial seasons and I think he is a success as a big leaguer but if you expect more than this out of a 5 tool talent, you are mistaken. There are so few players that make it to the majors and make an impact, that anyone who puts up these kind of numbers is a clear success of scouting and development in my opinion.
My example 5 tool talent here is more of a 3 tool talent now. It is Ruben Tejeda. I loved him in 2006 and am impressed by the player he is now. To me, these are the types of players that every team needs to succeed. Guys with a lot of potential that will likely regress from what you expect them to be but still be good enough to get AB's. That is why I draft high end athletic guys that are high risk. Even if they don't get to 40% of their potential, they will still be MLB'ers with positive results.

A lot of college players that make it to the majors and put up these kind of numbers are guys who reached above what the tools look like they could achieve. These are a lot harder to find because most of those players do it on mental toughness and making adjustments. These are two very unpredictable elements of a player. Without talking to players in person and sitting on them for months, it is almost impossible to know. I'm kind of rambling here, but I never said I was a good writer. I just love baseball and the intricacies.


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Names to Watch for 2011 and 2012 Draft

For more information on the draft, check out my new blog MLB Bonus Baby for more information regarding the draft.

Over the next month or so, I will be moving most Draft related info to MLB Draft Prospects. MiLB Prospects will be more focused on current minor leaguers.

These lists are far from perfect but it's a start

Aaron Brown , OF , Chatsworth HS, Calif.
Aaron Westlake , OF , Vanderbilt
Aaron Collazo , SS , Lady Bird Johnson, San Antonio, TX
Aaron Deguire , C , El Camino College
Aaron Dunsmore , OF , Dayton
Aaron Fanning , SS , Northwest (TX) HS
Aaron Gretz , C , Apple Valley, Apple Valley, MN
Aaron Johnson , LHP , Dunham, Baton Rouge, LA
Aaron Knapp , MIF , Granite Bay Granite Bay CA
Aaron Moore , RHP , Westwood Austin TX
Aaron Nola , RHP , Catholic, Baton Rouge, LA
Aaron Novak , OF/RHP , Germantown Academy (PA)
Aaron Thomassen , RHP , Nathan Hale Seattle WA
Aaron Westlake , 1B/OF , Vanderbilt
Abram Cartledge , LHP , Thomson, Thomson, GA
Adam Bennett , SS/RHP , …

Top 300- 2010 MLB Draft Prospects

Name POS Schools
1 Bryce Harper C Southern Nevada CC
2 Jameson Taillon RHP The Woodlands (Texas) HS
3 Anthony Ranaudo P LSU
4 Drew Pomeranz LHP Mississippi
5 Nick Castellanos 3B Archbishop McCarthy HS, FLA
6 Bryce Brentz OF Middle Tennessee State
7 AJ Cole P Oviedo HS, Orlando
8 Zack Cox 3B Arkansas
9 Austin Wilson OF Harvard-Westlake HS, CA
10 Deck McGuire RHP Georgia Tech
11 Karsten Whitson RHP Chipley HS, Bartow, Fla.
12 Christian Colon SS Cal State Fullerton
13 Matt Harvey P North Carolina
14 Levon Washington 2B/OF Chipola JC
15 Manny Machado SS Brito Prep, Miami
16 Josh Sale OF Bishop Blanchet HS, SEA
17 Chris Sale LHP Florida Gulf Coast
18 Jedd Gyorko 2B West Virginia
19 Brandon Workman P Texas
20 Stetson Allie 3B St. Edward HS, Lakewood, Ohio
21 Brian Ragira OF Martin HS, Arlington
22 Dylan Covey P Maranatha HS, Pasadena, CA
23 Derek Dietrich SS Georgia Tech
24 DeAndre Smelter P Tattnall Square GA
25 Kevin Gausman RHP Grandview HS, Aurora, Colo
26 Cameron Bedrosian P East Coweta HS, Sharpsburg, GA
27 Jos…