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MLB Draft - Success Rates of Prospects by Position

Every year a new group of draft picks are chosen and enter the professional ranks. Many won't make it to the majors, but maybe your team chose a future star or even a Hall of Famer. If you wonder what the chances are that your pick will make it to the majors, or become a star, here it is.

It is broken down by position, round and experience. There are a few outliers in here because a rare player turned out to be a star in the 7th or 8th round, so compare to the numbers around it to see if it seems to be true or not. This study covered from the 1987 to the 2001 draft. This gave the players plenty of time to reach their potential.

Here is a link to a PDF via Google docs.

Here is the excel document via Google docs

MLB Draft - Success Rates of Prospects by Position

Every year a new group of draft picks are chosen and enter the professional ranks. Many won't make it to the majors, but maybe your team chose a future star or even a Hall of Famer. If you wonder what the chances are that your pick will make it to the majors, or become a star, here it is.

It is broken down by position, round and experience. There are a few outliers in here because a rare player turned out to be a star in the 7th or 8th round, so compare to the numbers around it to see if it seems to be true or not. This study covered from the 1987 to the 2001 draft. This gave the players plenty of time to reach their potential.

Here is a link to a PDF via Google docs.

Here is the excel document via Google docs

Minnesota Twins Draft Report

Instead of taking polished strike throwers with average stuff and athletic outfielders, the Twins went with a variety of players this season. They took a lot of middle infield talent and quite a few collegiate pitchers but they also took a few high upside prep arms and a power hitting corner infielder. Signing the players after the 5th round may be tough but Burdi, Hochstatter and Howard could be worth the money.



1 Levi Michael , SS , North Carolina

Michael could be an average MLB SS with a good eye, good bat and minimal power, maybe 10 HR's at his peak. He may not have the range to stay at SS but could handle 2B very well. He will be a contributor at the big league level.

1s Travis Harrison , OF/3B , Tustin (Calif.) HS

Harrison was drafted as a 3B, could be athletic enough to play LF but is likely a 1B down the line. He could be a middle of the lineup power hitter with a .260-.270 average perenially.

1s Hudson Boyd , P , South Fort Myers HS, FL

Boyd is big, thick power pitcher …

Minnesota Twins Draft Report

Instead of taking polished strike throwers with average stuff and athletic outfielders, the Twins went with a variety of players this season. They took a lot of middle infield talent and quite a few collegiate pitchers but they also took a few high upside prep arms and a power hitting corner infielder. Signing the players after the 5th round may be tough but Burdi, Hochstatter and Howard could be worth the money.



1 Levi Michael , SS , North Carolina

Michael could be an average MLB SS with a good eye, good bat and minimal power, maybe 10 HR's at his peak. He may not have the range to stay at SS but could handle 2B very well. He will be a contributor at the big league level.

1s Travis Harrison , OF/3B , Tustin (Calif.) HS

Harrison was drafted as a 3B, could be athletic enough to play LF but is likely a 1B down the line. He could be a middle of the lineup power hitter with a .260-.270 average perenially.

1s Hudson Boyd , P , South Fort Myers HS, FL

Boyd is big, thick power pitcher …

International Signings from the Past Few Years

Simon Mercedes P SF D.R. 2011
Roughned Odor , SS , TEX Venezuela 2011
Aliaksei Lukashevich P PIT Belarus 2010
Iago Januarrio , P , BOS Brazil 2010
Jorge Alfaro , C , TEX Colombia 2010
Dilson Herrera , SS , PIT Colombia 2010
Pedro Perez , , NYM Colombia 2010
Jose Torres , P , SEA Colombia 2010
Adeiny Hechavarria , SS , TOR Cuba 2010
Reinier Roibal , P , SF Cuba 2010
Sergio Espinosa , P , TB Cuba 2010
Jorge Padron , OF , BOS Cuba 2010
Yaniel Cabeza C CHC Cuba 2010
Rubi Silva OF CHC Cuba 2010
Cesar Lopez P PIT Cuban 2010
Phillips Castillo , OF , SEA D. R. 2010
Danry Vazquez , OF , DET D. R. 2010
Duanel Jones , 3B , SD D. R. 2010
Carlos Martinez , P , STL D.R. 2010
Ariel Ovando , OF , HOU D.R. 2010
Joel Araujo , OF , TB D.R. 2010
Esteilon Peguero , 2B , SEA D.R. 2010
Wagner Mateo , OF , ARI D.R. 2010
Orlando Caxito , SS , KC D.R. 2010
Vicmal De La Cruz , OF , OAK D.R. 2010
Socrates Brito , OF , ARI D.R. 2010
Christopher Tamarez , SS , NYY D.R. 2…