My Top 2000 is now posted here.
I used the same formula for 2004 and 2005 and ended up with very similar results. These are the results from the top 2000 for 2004 using the same formula as I currently use. The only difference is, the 2004 list doesn't exclude players exceeding 130 AB/50 IP for that year but does include draft picks. That will water down the numbers some. The results are pretty compelling to me. They were actually better than I expected.
It is still very hard to isolate players below AA but this is what I have for now.
Looking at these numbers can help approximate what to expect from my top 2000 for this season.
96% OF TOP 100 BECOME MLB PLAYERS AVERAGING 5.62 YRS OF MLB SERVICE
86% OF TOP 200 BECOME MLB PLAYERS
79% OF TOP 300 BECOME MLB PLAYERS
73% OF TOP 500 BECOME MLB PLAYERS AVERAGING 3.57 YEARS OF MLB SERVICE
62% OF TOP 1000 BECOME MLB PLAYERS AVERAGING 2.8 YEARS OF SERVICE
49% OF TOP 2000 BECOME MLB PLAYERS AVERAGING 2.1 YEARS OF MLB SERVICE
94% OF A GRADE BECOME MLB PLAYERS
81% OF A- GRADE BECOME MLB PLAYERS
76% OF B+ GRADE BECOME MLB PLAYERS
68% OF B GRADE BECOME MLB PLAYERS
77% OF B- GRADE BECOME MLB PLAYERS
61 % OF C+ GRADE BECOME MLB PLAYERS
51% OF C GRADE BECOME MLB PLAYERS
47 % OF D+ GRADE BECOME MLB PLAYERS
47% OF D GRADE BECOME MLB PLAYERS
84% GRADED B- OR BETTER AT HIGH A BECOME MLB PLAYERS
63% GRADED B- OR BETTER AT LOW A BECOME MLB PLAYERS
I am planning on looking at specific tools to see if they are better indicators than this number, but I doubt it since they are all factored in here based on the weight that was determined with other studies. They may be useful to decide which players to choose over others based on personal preference though.