Thursday, July 7, 2011

Houston Astros Shadow Draft - 2011

Last year I did a shadow draft for the Astros, taking higher risk and higher potential picks than they typically do. Toward the end of the draft, I took guys I liked or saw video of thru the net or MLB's draft tracker.
This year I used my draft board. I typically took the highest player available, though there were some exceptions that I wrote about as the draft went on.
I didn't do this in real-time with the draft because I was working. I watched the first round and supplemental round and then I imposed a draft ban on myself until I did this.

The 1st round was easy, taking the #5 talent in the draft at #11. In the 2nd round, Daniel Norris and Austin Hedges were both available and I didn't think either one would be. I thought about it a little but I had to go with Norris. In the 3rd round, Osich has too much potential to let slide, even with some tendinitis in his throwing shoulder.
In the 4th, Kyle Winkler is the highest rated player, but with 3 pitchers taken and one with an injury issue, I can't see adding another one right now. I'll take a look at him around the 8th if he's still there. Josh Tobias was next. I love his bat but with his commitment to Florida, he'll slide. I'll look back at him after Winkler.
Dillon Maples was next on my list in the 5th round but he has signability issues as well. I'll look at him after Tobias if he's still there. I need to get a decent catcher into the Astros shadow system. Curt Casali could be an above average defender and have enough bat to get by.
Really excited to get Cave in the 6th. In the 7th, Carson Baranik was next. He had injury issues this spring and would likely slide, but he could develop into an Anthony Ranaudo kind of player in 3 years at LSU. I think he'll end up there so I'll look back in the 20th round if he's still there. Dylan Davis is next and he has a strong commit to Oregon State. I'll take him after Baranik. I looked down the list for a top college talent but Winkler is the best out there, so I'll take him. I took Tobias and Maples next.
In the 10th, Andrew Murray is the highest on my list but has a strong commit to Georgia Tech. Billy Flamion is likely headed to Oregon, so I'll slot both of these guys in the 20's as well. Amir Garrett really intrigues me and I wouldn't have been surprised to see him go as high as the supplemental round, so I have to take him here. Great athleticism in a lefty is hard to come by. That's the main reason Kevin Matthews was taken this year in the 1st round and I prefer Garrett to him.
11th:Nick Burdi was next but I'm a little pitcher heavy. I should get a couple more of these top high school arms in the 20th or later, so I'll slot him down with the "sliders" list.
13th: Add Hawtin Buchanan behind Burdi.
15: Damn, I missed Rookie Davis. I was hoping I'd get him.
16: I see that Preston Tucker is still available. He must have a big number to sign. I'll roll the dice.
18: Mooneyham had an injury this season, but he has a lot of potential.
20: Over to the "sliders" list.
32: I'm really, really high school heavy here. I'm going off the list to take some collegiate players I like watching the last couple years that are still available.
41: Back to some high school talent that I like.

Round Overall Name Position Team
1 11 Sonny Gray RHP Oakland Athletics

2 69 Daniel Norris LHP Toronto Blue Jays

3 99 Josh Osich LHP San Francisco Giants

4 130 Derek Fisher CF Texas Rangers

5 160 Curtis Casali C Detroit Tigers

6 190 Jake Cave CF New York Yankees

7 220 Kyle Winkler RHP Arizona Diamondbacks

8 250 Joshua Tobias SS Washington Nationals

9 280 Dillon Maples RHP Chicago Cubs

10 310 Amir Garrett LHP Cincinnati Reds

11 340 Matt Dean 3B Toronto Blue Jays
12 370 Shon Carson CF Cincinnati Reds
13 400 Phillip Evans SS New York Mets

14 430 Ricky Jacquez RHP Chicago Cubs
15 460 Dominic Jose CF Los Angeles Angels

16 490 Preston Tucker 1B Colorado Rockies

17 520 Austin Slater SS Los Angeles Dodgers

18 550 Brett Mooneyham LHP Washington Nationals
19 580 Austin Urban RHP Chicago Cubs
20 610 Carson Baranik RHP Cincinnati Reds
21 640 Dylan Davis RHP Not Drafted
22 670 Andrew Murray C Houston Astros

23 700 Nick Burdi RHP Minnesota Twins

24 730 Patrick Connaughton RHP San Diego Padres

25 760 Eric Arce
1B Toronto Blue Jays
26 790 Kyle Robinson 1B Chicago White Sox

27 820 Brandon Sedell C Not Drafted
28 850 Dakota Freese RHP Chicago White Sox
29 880 Geno Escalante C Not Drafted
30 910 Grayson Greiner C Not Drafted
31 940 Philip Pfeifer LHP Texas Rangers
32 970 Kash Kalkowski 3B Kansas City Royals

33 1000 Tyler Rahmatulla 2B St. Louis Cardinals

34 1030 Adrian Morales 3B Kansas City Royals
35 1060 Joseph Loftus OF Arizona Diamondbacks
36 1090 John Coy 1B Toronto Blue Jays
37 1120 William Argo CF Pittsburgh Pirates

38 1150 Tyler Hanover SS New York Yankees
39 1180 Zac Elgie 1B Not Drafted
40 1210 Khiry Cooper OF Not Drafted
41 1240 Spenser Linney LHP San Diego Padres
42 1270 Rouric Bridgewater 1B Not Drafted
43 1300 Drake Roberts 2B Minnesota Twins
44 1330 Chase Williamson SS Not Drafted
45 1360 Jay Baum SS Not Drafted
46 1390 Breshon Kimbell C Not Drafted
47 1420 Blake Burrell P Not Drafted
48 1450 Drew Stiles OF Not Drafted
49 1480 Max Homick OF Not Drafted
50 1510 Daniel Mengden RHP Not Drafted

In this draft, I assume I sign all the players. Last year it would have cost in the $30 million dollar range most likely and this year it could be more. I will keep the lists of signed by MLB teams and players that did not sign seperate.

Contract Negotiations:
Overall Name Position Team Initial Offer Max Offer Actual Bonus
11 Sonny Gray RHP Oakland Athletics $1,863,000 $4,000,000
69 Daniel Norris LHP Toronto Blue Jays $2,000,000 $3,900,000
99 Josh Osich LHP San Francisco Giants $150,000 $500,000
130 Derek Fisher CF Texas Rangers $1,500,000 $2,250,000
160 Curtis Casali C Detroit Tigers $150,000 $500,000
190 Jake Cave CF New York Yankees $500,000 $1,000,000
220 Kyle Winkler RHP Arizona Diamondbacks $150,000 $500,000
250 Joshua Tobias SS Washington Nationals $1,000,000 $3,000,000
280 Dillon Maples RHP Chicago Cubs $1,000,000 $3,000,000
310 Amir Garrett LHP Cincinnati Reds $500,000 $1,000,000
340 Matt Dean 3B Toronto Blue Jays $150,000 $500,000
370 Shon Carson CF Cincinnati Reds $500,000 $1,000,000
400 Phillip Evans SS New York Mets $150,000 $500,000
430 Ricky Jacquez RHP Chicago Cubs $150,000 $500,000
460 Dominic Jose CF Los Angeles Angels $150,000 $1,000,000
490 Preston Tucker 1B Colorado Rockies $150,000 $500,000
520 Austin Slater SS Los Angeles Dodgers $150,000 $1,000,000
550 Brett Mooneyham LHP Washington Nationals $0 slot
580 Austin Urban RHP Chicago Cubs $0 slot
610 Carson Baranik RHP Cincinnati Reds $150,000 $1,000,000
640 Dylan Davis RHP Not Drafted $150,000 $1,000,000
670 Andrew Murray C Houston Astros $150,000 $1,000,000
700 Nick Burdi RHP Minnesota Twins $150,000 $1,000,000
730 Patrick Connaughton RHP San Diego Padres $150,000 $1,000,000
760 Eric Arce 1B Toronto Blue Jays $0 slot
790 Kyle Robinson 1B Chicago White Sox $0 slot
820 Brandon Sedell C Not Drafted $0 $150,000
850 Dakota Freese RHP Chicago White Sox $0 $150,000
880 Geno Escalante C Not Drafted $0 slot
910 Grayson Greiner C Not Drafted $0 $150,000
940 Philip Pfeifer LHP Texas Rangers $0 $150,000
970 Kash Kalkowski 3B Kansas City Royals $0 slot
1000 Tyler Rahmatulla 2B St. Louis Cardinals $0 slot
1030 Adrian Morales 3B Kansas City Royals $0 slot
1060 Joseph Loftus OF Arizona Diamondbacks $0 slot
1090 John Coy 1B Toronto Blue Jays $0 slot
1120 William Argo CF Pittsburgh Pirates $0 slot
1150 Tyler Hanover SS New York Yankees $0 slot
1180 Zac Elgie 1B Not Drafted $0 slot
1210 Khiry Cooper OF Not Drafted $0 slot
1240 Spenser Linney LHP San Diego Padres $0 $150,000
1270 Rouric Bridgewater 1B Not Drafted $0 $150,000
1300 Drake Roberts 2B Minnesota Twins $0 $150,000
1330 Chase Williamson SS Not Drafted $0 $150,000
1360 Jay Baum SS Not Drafted $0 $150,000
1390 Breshon Kimbell C Not Drafted $0 $150,000
1420 Blake Burrell P Not Drafted $0 $150,000
1450 Drew Stiles OF Not Drafted $0 $150,000
1480 Max Homick OF Not Drafted $0 $150,000
1510 Daniel Mengden RHP Not Drafted $0 $150,000

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