Friday, April 30, 2010

Top Eastern League Pitchers for April

Rk Name , Age , W - L , ERA : SO / BB
1 Stephen Strasburg , 21 , 3 - 0 , 0.52 : 23 / 3
2 Casey Kelly , 20 , 0 - 1 , 3.38 : 10 / 3
3 Tim Collins* , 20 , 1 - 0 , 2.70 : 16 / 7
4 Deolis Guerra , 21 , 1 - 1 , 3.50 : 12 / 0
5 Drew Storen , 22 , 0 - 0 , 0.96 : 11 / 1
6 Phillippe Aumont , 21 , 1 - 1 , 3.32 : 14 / 9
7 Rudy Owens* , 22 , 2 - 0 , 3.57 : 17 / 2
8 David Bromberg , 22 , 1 - 0 , 1.00 : 17 / 4
9 Tim Alderson , 21 , 2 - 0 , 5.49 : 7 / 6
10 Zachary Britton* , 22 , 1 - 2 , 4.32 : 19 / 8
11 Zach Putnam , 22 , 2 - 1 , 6.04 : 16 / 6
12 Felix Doubront* , 22 , 2 - 0 , 3.86 : 16 / 8
13 Tyler Robertson* , 22 , 0 - 1 , 3.18 : 8 / 4
14 Josh Stinson , 22 , 2 - 0 , 2.70 : 10 / 6
15 Kyle Drabek , 22 , 3 - 1 , 3.80 : 20 / 12
16 Andrew Oliver* , 22 , 2 - 1 , 5.03 : 21 / 12
17 Vance Worley , 22 , 1 - 2 , 5.23 : 16 / 10
18 Clayton Tanner* , 22 , 1 - 2 , 2.25 : 11 / 9
19 Steve Johnson , 22 , 0 - 1 , 4.74 : 19 / 9
20 David Phelps , 23 , 2 - 0 , 1.08 : 18 / 3
21 Justin Wilson* , 22 , 1 - 1 , 6.57 : 11 / 10
22 Scott Barnes* , 22 , 0 - 2 , 8.80 : 15 / 11
23 Luis Marte , 23 , 0 - 0 , 3.24 : 8 / 1
24 Tom Milone* , 23 , 1 - 0 , 4.19 : 20 / 6
25 Aaron Thompson* , 23 , 1 - 1 , 2.87 : 13 / 4

Top Southern League Hitters for April

Rk Name Age BA / OBP / SLG
1 Wilmer Flores 18 0.352 / 0.394 / 0.58
2 Domingo Santana 17 0.207 / 0.397 / 0.345
3 Christian Bethancourt 18 0.262 / 0.279 / 0.338
4 Thomas Joseph 18 0.247 / 0.321 / 0.411
5 Leury Garcia# 19 0.264 / 0.309 / 0.356
6 Michael Almanzar 19 0.234 / 0.315 / 0.453
7 Jiovanni Mier 19 0.211 / 0.337 / 0.289
8 Edwin Garcia# 19 0.233 / 0.303 / 0.3
9 Jose Torres 19 0.3 / 0.4 / 0.32
10 Jonathan Meyer# 19 0.35 / 0.398 / 0.45
11 Trayce Thompson 19 0.304 / 0.385 / 0.63
12 Reymond Fuentes* 19 0.241 / 0.318 / 0.379
13 Miguel Gonzalez 19 0.207 / 0.258 / 0.362
14 Cesar Puello 19 0.284 / 0.376 / 0.338
15 Jonathan Villar# 19 0.289 / 0.379 / 0.368
16 Sebastian Valle 19 0.253 / 0.284 / 0.347
17 Jose Altuve 20 0.311 / 0.354 / 0.405
18 Francisco Arcia# 20 0.217 / 0.379 / 0.304
19 Michael Ohlman 19 0.043 / 0.207 / 0.087
20 Jefry Marte 19 0.176 / 0.282 / 0.235
21 Kyle Higashioka 20 0.226 / 0.324 / 0.355
22 Adrian Nieto# 20 0.348 / 0.5 / 0.348
23 Juan Silverio 19 0.154 / 0.2 / 0.262
24 Garabez Rosa 20 0.338 / 0.351 / 0.535
25 J.P. Ramirez* 20 0.284 / 0.356 / 0.506

Top Midwest League Hitters for April

Rk Name Age BA / OBP / SLG
1 Mike Trout 18 0.378 / 0.435 / 0.476
2 Chris Owings 18 0.304 / 0.337 / 0.481
3 Nick Franklin# 19 0.337 / 0.385 / 0.639
4 Jonathan Galvez 19 0.259 / 0.411 / 0.328
5 Randal Grichuk 18 0.2 / 0.256 / 0.32
6 Rashun Dixon 19 0.279 / 0.383 / 0.426
7 Hak-Ju Lee* 19 0.256 / 0.298 / 0.321
8 Rymer Liriano 19 0.197 / 0.262 / 0.382
9 William Myers 19 0.244 / 0.299 / 0.462
10 Edinson Rincon 19 0.19 / 0.261 / 0.278
11 Matthew Cerda* 20 0.284 / 0.424 / 0.373
12 Cameron Garfield 19 0.227 / 0.282 / 0.318
13 Henry Rodriguez# 20 0.267 / 0.277 / 0.467
14 Frederick Parejo 19 0.242 / 0.309 / 0.29
15 Bobby Borchering# 19 0.227 / 0.294 / 0.373
16 Bo Greenwell* 21 0.405 / 0.488 / 0.662
17 Ender Inciarte* 19 0.14 / 0.213 / 0.186
18 Ryan Gennett* 20 0.339 / 0.45 / 0.452
19 Mariekson Gregorius* 20 0.267 / 0.351 / 0.395
20 Matthew Davidson 19 0.359 / 0.4 / 0.513
21 Aaron Hicks# 20 0.299 / 0.427 / 0.463
22 Max Stassi 19 0.243 / 0.329 / 0.419
23 Steven Baron 19 0.24 / 0.278 / 0.34
24 A.J. Jimenez 20 0.351 / 0.395 / 0.568
25 Jean Segura 20 0.256 / 0.341 / 0.359

Top International League Hitters for April

Rk Age BA OBP SLG
1 Freddie Freeman* 20 0.25 / 0.3 / 0.464
2 Jesus Montero 20 0.246 / 0.316 / 0.391
3 Ruben Tejada 20 0.233 / 0.277 / 0.333
4 Jose Tabata 21 0.302 / 0.368 / 0.419
5 Fernando Martinez* 21 0.254 / 0.286 / 0.39
6 Dayan Viciedo 21 0.256 / 0.275 / 0.436
7 Ike Davis* 23 0.364 / 0.5 / 0.636
8 Eduardo Nunez 23 0.377 / 0.442 / 0.494
9 Michael Brantley* 23 0.306 / 0.375 / 0.389
10 Desmond Jennings 23 0.235 / 0.409 / 0.294
11 Wilson Ramos 22 0.188 / 0.212 / 0.344
12 Carlos Santana# 24 0.313 / 0.45 / 0.609
14 Jordan Danks* 23 0.27 / 0.36 / 0.459
15 Argenis Diaz 23 0.296 / 0.356 / 0.315
16 Neil Walker# 24 0.329 / 0.407 / 0.544
17 Josh Thole* 23 0.151 / 0.23 / 0.208
18 Trevor Plouffe 24 0.291 / 0.367 / 0.481
19 Pedro Alvarez* 23 0.222 / 0.3 / 0.395
20 Josh Reddick* 23 0.186 / 0.21 / 0.373

Wednesday, April 28, 2010

The draft...

Bryce Harper is the best candidate to be the #1 overall pick but the depth of the draft this year is well beyond the young catcher who is already up to 21 HR's in 156 AB. He has played C, RF, CF, and 3B and may end up in RF in the end. A lot of people have been talking about his attitude lately, but every athlete has an ego. Even guys who don't blast 500' HR's as a 17 year old in a wood bat league faceing guys 3-4 years older. They true test will happen when he fails for the first time.
Jameson Taillon is a 6'7" RHP who can run it up to 98 and has a nasty curveball. He should be the first high schooler off the board and could be the next in a long line of fireballers from Texas. He comes from the same school as David Aardsma and Kyle Drabek.
On the college side is another 6'7" RHP, Anthony Ranaudo from LSU. He had a sore arm this spring but is rounding back into form and when I saw him face Ole Miss, he looked like a top of the draft arm. I don't see him as an Ace, but a John Lackey kind of guy looks to be quite attainable, as long as he stays healthy.
Drew Pomeranz is a lefty from Ole Miss and can run his fastball into the mid 90's. He has a nasty curveball and an easy delivery. He cuts his motion short when he throws, but it isn't a concern to me.
Lately Manny Machado out of Brito Prep in Miami, has been getting a lot of publicity. He will get compared to ARod because of his look and swing, but he will not have the glove like ARod at SS, or the bat. I would be a little surprised if he can stay at SS, but a team that thinks he can stay at Short may take him high...yes I am looking at you Kansas City.
Yasmani Grandal is getting the attention of many, hitting 130 points higher than he did a season ago at Miami. The catchers other stats are not that much diffent than last season. He hit 16 HR's last season and has 10 right now. His bat is a little slow, but he swings with a lot of power. Defensively, he is average. He has a decent arm, is a good receiver and won't embarass himself as a catcher. He was considered a 1st rounder in 2007 and should be a top 15 pick if not a top 5 pick this season.
Kris Bryant out of Bonanza HS in Las Vegas has more raw power than most players in the draft this year. He will probably end up at 1B but has a good enough arm and is a good enough athlete to be an OF'er, at least to start his career. I could see him being a similar player to Troy Glaus.
Reggie Golden is an OF'er from Wetumpka, Alabama. He is a 5'10ish hitter that is built like a rock. He has a stiff swing but can hit the ball a mile. He reminds me of Ron Gant for some reason. He is a good athlete and will be a LF in pro ball and should have more than enough bat for the position.

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Finals, Ackley, Stanton, Strasburg, Howard and Singleton

I have been slow on posts. It's coming up to the end of the semester and I am doing my best to get thru spring semester. Going back to school has been tough on me.

Also, I haven't had much for ideas of what to write about. I could write some blurbs about what some players have been doing, but I don't know, I haven't been inspired by anything yet.

Dustin Ackley is hitting poor, Mike Stanton is hitting a ridiculous amount of home runs and Stephen Strasburg is living up to the hype. One of these days I'll write about something important, but for now, I want to talk about Ryan Howard's contract.

He is 30 years old and is now signed thru 2016, 2017 if you count the option. By the end he will be 37, even more out of shape and poor defensively, I would guess.
I just can't see him being a good first baseman past 2014. He may continue to keep hitting well, but not at an MVP type rate, and living up to that contract. I understand they want to lock up their future but he isn't Teixeira or Mauer and shouldn't be paid that way. Ruben Amaro can defend the signing and it is hard to let a superstar walk but they may have been better off getting the two draft picks and making a push to get Prince Fielder or Adrian Gonzalez when they become free agents.
I have a feeling Howard isn't going to age well, but the current situation may not end much differently than Howard's promotion to the majors, when he was waiting behind Jim Thome. I have a feeling Jon Singleton will be waiting in the wings in 2015 and ready to step in full time in 2016 if not earlier.

Friday, April 16, 2010

Trade Values...

Lately I have been working on rating MLB players with a similar system to my MiLB system for..... well, just for the hell of it I guess.
One thing I think it could be useful is guessing what a prospects trade value is...let's see.

Fred Lewis was recently traded from San Francisco to Toronto. Lewis is a fair MLB player and could be useful for a team like the Jays. I don't think the Giants are going to get much for him although he has some value.
A fair deal would be for a player like Zech Zinicola, a Triple A relief arm. The second name is Danny Farquhar, the 23 year old AA Pitcher. Trystan Magnuson and Santiago Nessy are also listed next but they are both were big investments. Magnuson was a 1st round pick in 2007 and Nessy was a recently signed out of Venezuela for $750,000. My guess is it will be a guy who isn't even in my top 2000, but we will see.

This brings me to the big names. Adrian Gonzalez probably won't be in San Diego come August. My guess is they will be looking for top prospects that are close to MLB ready. Boston is one possible contender and a deal that makes sense would be RHP Clay Buchholz, 1B Anthony Rizzo, and a high ceiling player that is a ways away like Michael Almanzar or Will Middlebrooks. The Red Sox have so much depth in the way of high ceiling, low level prospects that last guy could be one of a dozen. They may prefer Lars Anderson, Casey Kelly or Michael Bowden instead of Buchholz but there is no doubt the Red Sox have the chips.

The Mariners and Orioles could also be in the mix. I don't see a deal to Seattle not including Dustin Ackley. I don't think Jack Z. would move Ackley, but Jose Lopez could be a part of the package. Beyond that, the Mariners don't have the big chips.
Maybe Jose Lopez, Casey Kotchman, and a prospect like Michael Saunders, or Ezequiel Carrera to finish it off, but I don't think that deal could beat the deal to the Sox.
The Orioles could be a sleeper here. They were willing to pay for a big bat when Mark Teixiera was available and may do the same for Gonzalez. The problem is, I think he wants to test free agency. There is no question they have the chips to pull off a deal, though. At the top they could offer Brian Matusz or Chris Tillman, the nexttier of players could be Josh Bell, Jake Arrieta or Brandon Snyder and one or two guys like LJ Hoes, Mychal Givens, Xavier Avery, Jacob Cowan or even Bill Rowell.
The deal I would offer is Tillman, Arrieta, Snyder, Givens and Rowell and see where it goes. This deal is a win for San Diego using my numbers but is a good deal for the Orioles, in my opinion.

I believe that the Orioles should make a big push for either Prince Fielder or Adrian Gonzalez. They have done a great job in the last couple drafts, stockpiling late round draft picks with high upsides by paying over slot for them. I think now is the time to trade in these prospects for some offensive help.

Thursday, April 15, 2010

My first Mock Draft

I'm not going to go into a lot of depth about why I think each person is going where, because I don't have the knowledge of how scouting directors and GM's have operated in the past like Jim Callis or Andy Seiler do. This is just an idea of how I think it's going to go. A few surprises, a few guys higher, a few lower than what talent shows. Lets hope I get a couple right :)

1. Washington Nationals : Bryce Harper , C , Southern Nevada CC
2. Pittsburgh Pirates : Jameson Tallion , RHP , The Woodlands (Texas) HS
3. Baltimore Orioles : Anthony Ranaudo , RHP , LSU
4. Kansas City Royals : Drew Pomeranz , LHP , Mississippi
5. Cleveland Indians : Deck McGuire , RHP , Georgia Tech
6. Arizona Diamondbacks : Karsten Whitson , RHP , Chipley HS, Bartow, Fla.
7. New York Mets : Manny Machado , SS , Brito Prep, Miami
8. Houston Astros : Zack Cox , 3B , Arkansas
9. San Diego Padres : Chris Sale , LHP , Florida Gulf Coast
10. Oakland Athletics : Matt Harvey , P , North Carolina
11. Toronto Blue Jays : Josh Sale , OF , Bishop Blanchet HS, SEA
12. Cincinnati Reds : Christian Colon , SS , Cal State Fullerton
13. Chicago White Sox : Austin Wilson , OF , Harvard-Westlake HS, CA
14. Milwaukee Brewers : Yasmani Grandal , C , Miami
15. Texas Rangers : Jesse Hahn , P , Virginia Tech
16. Chicago Cubs : DeAndre Smelter , P , Tattnall Square GA
17. Tampa Bay Rays : Kevin Gausman , RHP , Grandview HS, Aurora, Colo
18. Los Angeles Angels : Bryce Brentz , OF , Middle Tennessee State
19. Houston Astros : Brandon Workman , P , Texas
20. Boston Red Sox : AJ Cole , RHP , Oviedo HS, Orlando
21. Minnesota Twins : Nick Castellanos , 3B , Archbishop McCarthy HS, FLA
22. Texas Rangers : Stetson Allie , P , St. Edward HS, Lakewood, Ohio
23. Florida Marlins : Levon Washington , 2B/OF , Chipola JC
24. San Francisco Giants : Michael Choice , OF Texas-Arlington
25. St. Louis Cardinals : Kris Bryant , 1B , Bonanza Hs, Las Vegas
26. Colorado Rockies : Josh Spence , LHP , ASU
27. Philadelphia Phillies : Kris Bryant , 1B , Bonanza Hs, Las Vegas
28. Los Angeles Dodgers : Cameron Bedrosian , P , East Coweta HS, Sharpsburg, GA
29. Los Angeles Angels : Reggie Golden , OF , Wetumpka ALA
30. Los Angeles Angels : Micah Gibbs , C , LSU
31. Tampa Bay Rays : Justin O' Conner , SS/C , Cowan HS, Muncie, Ind.
32. New York Yankees : Alex Wimmers , RHP , Ohio State

Supplemental First Round
33. Houston Astros : Chavez Clarke , OF , Marietta GA
34. Toronto Blue Jays : Zach Alvord , 2B/3B , South Forsyth HS, GA
35. Atlanta Braves : Kevin Jacob , P , Georgia Tech
36. Boston Red Sox : Yordy Cabrera , SS , Lakeland FL HS
37. Los Angeles Angels : Drew Cisco , RHP , Wando HS, Mt. Pleasant, S.C.
38. Toronto Blue Jays : Chad Bettis , RHP , Texas Tech
39. Boston Red Sox : Jedd Gyorko , 2B , West Virginia
40. Los Angeles Angels : Derek Dietrich , SS , Georgia Tech
41. Toronto Blue Jays : Sam Dyson , RHP , South Carolina
42. Tampa Bay Rays : Robbie Aviles , P , Suffern HS, NY
43. Seattle Mariners : Chris Hernandez , LHP , Miami
44. Detroit Tigers : Tyler Holt , OF , Florida State
45. Texas Rangers : Brian Ragira , OF , Martin HS, Arlington
46. St. Louis Cardinals : Gary Brown , OF , Cal State Fullerton
47. Colorado Rockies : Kellin Deglan , C Langley BC
48. Detroit Tigers : Jesse Biddle , LHP , Germantown Friends School, Philadelphia
49. Texas Rangers : Rick Hague , SS , Rice
50. St. Louis Cardinals : Bryan Morgado , LHP , Tennesee

Sunday, April 11, 2010

4-10 prospect report

Name Level IP H R ER BB K HR ERA
Ethan Martin HiA 5.0 3 0 0 0 9 0 0.00
Zach Stewart AA 5.0 4 1 1 1 3 1 1.80
Jacob Turner A 5.0 2 0 0 0 7 0 0.00
Alex White HiA 5.0 2 0 0 4 7 0 0.00
Pat Venditte HiA 3.0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0.00 Recording a SV
Matt Magill A 4.0 2 0 0 1 5 0 0.00 Along with a SV, sleeper
Wilmer Font A 5.0 5 1 1 1 8 0 1.80

Name Level AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SO BB SB CS
Dustin Ackley AA 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
Ezequiel Carrera AAA 4 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Starlin Castro AA 4 2 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0
Lonnie Chisenhall AA 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Hank Conger AAA 4 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Matt Dominguez AA 3 1 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
Jonathan Galvez A 4 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
Grant Green HiA 5 1 3 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0
Eric Hosmer A+ 4 2 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0
Jose Iglesias AA 4 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Brett Lawrie AA 4 3 3 0 1 1 3 0 2 0 0
Justin Smoak AAA 4 1 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
Max Stassi A 4 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
Nate Tenbrink HiA 5 0 3 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
Nick Weglarz AA 5 2 2 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 0

Friday, April 9, 2010

Some opening day lines

Ike Davis had 3 hits and 2 doubles in AAA, making it look like he should have broke camp with the Mets.

Carlos Santana broke loose with 2 Home Runs and 4 RBI in 5 AB.

Buster Posey and Mike Stanton each had 3 hits, with Stanton going deep for the first of many this season.

Kentrail Davis had 2 hits and an RBI in his professional debut.

Starlin Castro, Adam Milligan, Jose Iglesias, Cedric Hunter, and Todd Frazier had a couple hits each. Tyler Flowers and Dennis Raben did also, with a HR each.

Justin Smoak and Pedro Alvarez both went deep.

Ben Revere didn't continue his hot spring with 3 K's.

Kyle Gibson had an unusual day. He pitched 3.2 IP, gave up 6 hits, including 2 HR's and K'd 7. One of the HR's was by Robbie Grossman, a 2008 over slot signing by the Pirates. He could have a very good season in the FSL this year.

Kyle Drabek struck out 8 and walked 2 in 5 IP.

Jeremy Hellickson and Jhoulys Chacin both K'd 6 and BB'd 1 in 5 IP.

Aaron Crow struggled walking 3 and striking out 2 in 4.2 IP but only gave up one run.

Christian Friedrich went 6 innings and K'd 5 and BB'd 2 giving up 4 hits and only one run.

Christian Garcia for the Yankees went 5.2 innings, allowing 2 hits, walking 1 and striking out 3. He could have a great season if he can just STAY HEALTHY.

Updated Jason Heyward Projection

Since J Hey is gonna be a RF for the Braves instead of in 3A, here is my projected line for him. I project he will have at least one stint on the DL with a lower body injury.


AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG
436 62 129 27 2 9 58 8 2 38 53 0.2960 0.3680 0.4280

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

Who is the Next Hanley or Tulo?

This is a post with a comment I made on Minor League Ball. I thought it was worth posting here.
Alcides Escobar has a very good bat and if he develops more patience, it could give him more power.
I've heard people compare Jio Mier to Nomar.
Dee Gordon is very raw for his age and could develop more power, but I don't see it.
Hak Ju Lee doesn't have the power but sure can hit, but may end up in CF due to Starlin Castro. I'd prefer Lee at SS and Castro at 2B but the Cubs have Logan Watkins and DJ Lemahieu there.
Grant Green is a safe bet to be a JJ Hardy kind of guy and could move up to be better than that.
Ian Desmond could be good also but not a HanRam kind of guy. More of a .280-15 kind of guy.
After that you have to gamble on projection with Jurickson Profar, Jonathan Galvez, Manny Machado, Yordy Cabrera, Jason Esposito, Kenny Diekroger and Steven Perez to name a few.
Or you can hope someone can stick at short and improve their defense to acceptable, like Tim Beckham, Miguel Sano, WIlmer Flores, Todd Frazier or Neftali Soto.
Brandon Crawford, Rick Hague and Chris Owings could be sleepers if they improve their contact ability.
My money for the next impact SS is Escobar followed by Green. There is a lot of depth here. It will be interesting to see who shakes out of it.