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Trade Values...

Lately I have been working on rating MLB players with a similar system to my MiLB system for..... well, just for the hell of it I guess.
One thing I think it could be useful is guessing what a prospects trade value is...let's see.

Fred Lewis was recently traded from San Francisco to Toronto. Lewis is a fair MLB player and could be useful for a team like the Jays. I don't think the Giants are going to get much for him although he has some value.
A fair deal would be for a player like Zech Zinicola, a Triple A relief arm. The second name is Danny Farquhar, the 23 year old AA Pitcher. Trystan Magnuson and Santiago Nessy are also listed next but they are both were big investments. Magnuson was a 1st round pick in 2007 and Nessy was a recently signed out of Venezuela for $750,000. My guess is it will be a guy who isn't even in my top 2000, but we will see.

This brings me to the big names. Adrian Gonzalez probably won't be in San Diego come August. My guess is they will be looking for top prospects that are close to MLB ready. Boston is one possible contender and a deal that makes sense would be RHP Clay Buchholz, 1B Anthony Rizzo, and a high ceiling player that is a ways away like Michael Almanzar or Will Middlebrooks. The Red Sox have so much depth in the way of high ceiling, low level prospects that last guy could be one of a dozen. They may prefer Lars Anderson, Casey Kelly or Michael Bowden instead of Buchholz but there is no doubt the Red Sox have the chips.

The Mariners and Orioles could also be in the mix. I don't see a deal to Seattle not including Dustin Ackley. I don't think Jack Z. would move Ackley, but Jose Lopez could be a part of the package. Beyond that, the Mariners don't have the big chips.
Maybe Jose Lopez, Casey Kotchman, and a prospect like Michael Saunders, or Ezequiel Carrera to finish it off, but I don't think that deal could beat the deal to the Sox.
The Orioles could be a sleeper here. They were willing to pay for a big bat when Mark Teixiera was available and may do the same for Gonzalez. The problem is, I think he wants to test free agency. There is no question they have the chips to pull off a deal, though. At the top they could offer Brian Matusz or Chris Tillman, the nexttier of players could be Josh Bell, Jake Arrieta or Brandon Snyder and one or two guys like LJ Hoes, Mychal Givens, Xavier Avery, Jacob Cowan or even Bill Rowell.
The deal I would offer is Tillman, Arrieta, Snyder, Givens and Rowell and see where it goes. This deal is a win for San Diego using my numbers but is a good deal for the Orioles, in my opinion.

I believe that the Orioles should make a big push for either Prince Fielder or Adrian Gonzalez. They have done a great job in the last couple drafts, stockpiling late round draft picks with high upsides by paying over slot for them. I think now is the time to trade in these prospects for some offensive help.


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For more information on the draft, check out my new blog MLB Bonus Baby for more information regarding the draft.

Over the next month or so, I will be moving most Draft related info to MLB Draft Prospects. MiLB Prospects will be more focused on current minor leaguers.

These lists are far from perfect but it's a start

Aaron Brown , OF , Chatsworth HS, Calif.
Aaron Westlake , OF , Vanderbilt
Aaron Collazo , SS , Lady Bird Johnson, San Antonio, TX
Aaron Deguire , C , El Camino College
Aaron Dunsmore , OF , Dayton
Aaron Fanning , SS , Northwest (TX) HS
Aaron Gretz , C , Apple Valley, Apple Valley, MN
Aaron Johnson , LHP , Dunham, Baton Rouge, LA
Aaron Knapp , MIF , Granite Bay Granite Bay CA
Aaron Moore , RHP , Westwood Austin TX
Aaron Nola , RHP , Catholic, Baton Rouge, LA
Aaron Novak , OF/RHP , Germantown Academy (PA)
Aaron Thomassen , RHP , Nathan Hale Seattle WA
Aaron Westlake , 1B/OF , Vanderbilt
Abram Cartledge , LHP , Thomson, Thomson, GA
Adam Bennett , SS/RHP , …

Top 300- 2010 MLB Draft Prospects

Name POS Schools
1 Bryce Harper C Southern Nevada CC
2 Jameson Taillon RHP The Woodlands (Texas) HS
3 Anthony Ranaudo P LSU
4 Drew Pomeranz LHP Mississippi
5 Nick Castellanos 3B Archbishop McCarthy HS, FLA
6 Bryce Brentz OF Middle Tennessee State
7 AJ Cole P Oviedo HS, Orlando
8 Zack Cox 3B Arkansas
9 Austin Wilson OF Harvard-Westlake HS, CA
10 Deck McGuire RHP Georgia Tech
11 Karsten Whitson RHP Chipley HS, Bartow, Fla.
12 Christian Colon SS Cal State Fullerton
13 Matt Harvey P North Carolina
14 Levon Washington 2B/OF Chipola JC
15 Manny Machado SS Brito Prep, Miami
16 Josh Sale OF Bishop Blanchet HS, SEA
17 Chris Sale LHP Florida Gulf Coast
18 Jedd Gyorko 2B West Virginia
19 Brandon Workman P Texas
20 Stetson Allie 3B St. Edward HS, Lakewood, Ohio
21 Brian Ragira OF Martin HS, Arlington
22 Dylan Covey P Maranatha HS, Pasadena, CA
23 Derek Dietrich SS Georgia Tech
24 DeAndre Smelter P Tattnall Square GA
25 Kevin Gausman RHP Grandview HS, Aurora, Colo
26 Cameron Bedrosian P East Coweta HS, Sharpsburg, GA
27 Jos…