Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Twins sign Miguel Angel Sano for $3.15 million

His deal is contingent on getting a visa to play in the U.S. but his identity has already been confirmed, so I don't see this as a big issue. The big question is if he is 16 or if he is older. This is the question with anyone that size at that age.Shaq, Lebron or even Amobi Okoye were men who were far bigger and more mature than there age suggested. I believe he is 16.
If this deal sticks, it will be the second largest bonus to go to a latin player other then a Cuban. Michel Ynoa's deal last season was the only one that was higer.
He told the AP he hopes that he can reach the majors in 2 years. I think that it will take longer then that and will also have to move off SS to 3B or OF.
He is already 6-3 and 190 lbs, so it may not take long for him to move over to 3rd, but his athleticism is undeniable. From everything I have heard, he is very driven and works hard, but is a jokester and enjoys playing pranks on friends and coaches.
As a Twins fan and living in Minnesota, I am very excited to see the Twins opening the pocket book to sign Kyle Gibson in the draft as well as getting Max Kepler, who may be the best prospect to ever come out of Europe. Now with the signing of Sano, the Twins may put themselves back into the top 10 farm systems in baseball.

Wagner Mateo's contract voided

I know I'm about a week behind on this story, but it intrigues me.
Wagner Mateo, who I have rated as the 2nd best prospect available in this years international signing period, had his contract voided because he failed his physical. Apparently he has one pre-existing injury and an ongoing injury and they are severe enough to void his deal, that was reportedly $3.1 million.
The information I heard was that he has 20/200 eyesight and 20/30 eyesight with contacts and that is not good enough to be a major league baseball player. This is the ongoing part of the injusy and the pre-existing injury was the damage done by poorly fitting contacts.
I have also heard rumors that some think he is over 16. I have heard the same about Miguel Sano, the top interntional talent this year.
From what I have seen of Mateo, he is a superb talent who is worthy of a high signing bonus. He has a good arm, a sweet swing and a good speed. Worst case scenario, he has 20/30 vision that is not correctable with Lasik and he is 20 years old(I can't see him over 20 with the way he looks). Even with these issues, if I was a big league GM, I would be interested in signing him, whether he has 20/30 eyesight or not. I would probably offer in the $750,000 range and hope for the best.
It will be intersting to see if there is any litigation that follows after this.

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Aroldis Chapman

MLB has granted cuban defector Aroldis Chapman free agency after he defected and established residency in Andorra, a small country located between Spain and France. It didn't take long for the MLB to declare him a free agent because he had a passport. This also means it is nearly certain that he actually is only 21.
He established residency outside of the U.S. so he could become a free agent and avoid the amateur draft. This allows all MLB teams to bid on him, although many won't.
Recently his agent, Edwin Mejia, recently attended a Yankees-Red Sox game to market his client. The Yankees, Red Sox and Angels, Dodgers are potential fits as Aroldis has said he has some interest in playing in Southern California.
I watched Aroldis at the WBC as he made some of the Aussies look foolish. He struggled with control against Japan, though. His stuff was very impressive. His fastball sits 94-97 with good deception and can run it up to 100 when he needs it. He also has a slider that is from 77-82 which can be pretty nasty. He got a lot of swings and misses and a few called strikeouts. His fastball seems all over the place and his slider is inconsistent but he can hit the corners at times. He leaves his pitches up frequently but most guys can't catch up to them.
In my opinion, he needs a year in AA before he would be ready for the big leagues. I do think he could get out big league hitters right now, but he doesn't have the control to be a consistent starter, nor does he have the composure. He does have the stuff to be a frontline starter.
As for my prognostication, I expect him to be signed a few weeks after the World Series concludes after a few workouts. I have a feeling the Angels are going to land him for a 6 year, 55 million dollar deal. He will struggle if sent directly to the bigs, not at first, but after teams get a read on him.

Friday, September 25, 2009

2010 Top 150 Prospects - version 1

This is for the 2010 draft. If you are looking for the Top 100 Minor league prospects for the 2010 season click here

Here is a link to my updated top 300 as of 2-11-10

My rank Name POS Schools
1 Bryce Harper C Las Vegas HS
2 Drew Pomeranz LHP Ole Miss
3 Nick Castellanos 3B Archbishop McCarthy HS, FLA
4 Anthony Ranaudo P LSU
5 AJ Cole P Oviedo HS, Orlando
6 Jameson Tallion RHP The Woodlands (Texas) HS
7 Brandon Workman P Texas
8 Christian Colon SS Cal State Fullerton
9 Zack Cox 3B Arkansas
10 Austin Wilson OF Harvard-Westlake HS, CA
11 Stetson Allie P/3B St. Edward HS, Lakewood, Ohio
12 Matt Harvey P UNC
13 Chris Hernandez P Miami
14 Kevin Keyes OF Texas
15 Yasmani Grandal C Miami
16 Chris Sale LHP Florida Gulf Coast
17 Jedd Gyorko 3B West Virginia
18 Brian Ragira OF Martin HS, Arlington
19 Garin Cecchini SS Barbe HS, Lake Charles, La.
20 Bryce Brentz OF Middle Tennessee State
21 Dylan Covey P Maranatha HS, Pasadena, CA
22 Deck McGuire RHP Georgia Tech
23 James Paxton LHP Kentucky
24 DeAndre Smelter P Tattnall Square GA
25 Levon Washington 2B JC
26 Kevin Gausman RHP Grandview HS, Aurora, Calif.
27 Cameron Bedrosian P East Coweta HS, Sharpsburg, GA
28 Josh Osich P Oregon State
29 Zach Alvord SS/2B South Forsyth HS, GA
30 Stefan Sabol C/OF Aliso Niguel HS
31 Victor Sanchez 3B U of San Diego
32 Alex Wimmers P Ohio State
33 Yordy Cabrera SS/RHP Lakeland FL HS
34 Sonny Gray P Vanderbilt
35 Kevin Patterson 1B Auburn
36 Reggie Golden OF Wetumpka ALA
37 Karsten Whitson RHP Chipley HS, Bartow, Fla.
38 Sam Dyson RHP South Carolina
39 Josh Sale OF Bishop Blanchet HS, SEA
40 Trey Griffin OF King HS, Stockbridge, GA
41 Brett Eibner RHP Arkansas
42 Jake Eliopoulos P JC?
43 Josh Spence LHP ASU
44 Sammy Solis P San Diego
45 Chance Ruffin RHP Texas
46 Austin Southall OF/1B Baton Rouge, LA
47 AJ Vanegas P Redwood Christian School, CA
48 Andy Wilkins 1B Arkansas
49 Justin Grimm P Georgia
50 Kevin Ziomek LHP Amherst Regional HS, Amherst, MA
51 Kyle Blair P San Diego
52 Micah Gibbs C LSU
53 Seth Blair RHP Arizona State
54 Tony Wolters SS/2B Rancho Buena Vista HS, Vista, Calif.
55 Austin Wates OF Virginia Tech
56 Bryan Morgado LHP Tennesee
57 Rob Rasmussen LHP UCLA
58 Robbie Aviles P Suffern HS, NY
59 Greg Peavey RHP Oregon State
60 Tyler Lyons LHP Oklahoma State
61 Christian Yelich 1B/OF Westlake HS, Thousand Oaks, Calif.
62 Rick Hague SS Rice
63 Todd Cunningham OF Jacksonville St.
64 Mike Nesseth RHP Nebraska
65 Nathan Foriest LHP Harpeth HS, Kingston Springs, TX
66 Tyrell Jenkins P Henderson, TX
67 Shawn Tolleson RHP Baylor
68 Kris Bryant 3B Bonanza Hs, Las Vegas
69 Tyler Holt OF Florida State
70 Cameron Rupp C Texas
71 Daniel Bibona P UC Irvine
72 Mitch Karraker C U of Oregon
73 Nick Tepesch P Missouri
74 Adam Plutko P
75 Mike Antonio SS/3B Washington HS, New York City
76 Tyler Shreve P East Valley HS, Redlands, Calif.
77 Brian Fletcher OF Auburn
78 Craig Fritsch RHP Baylor
79 Drew Cisco RHP Wando HS, Mt. Pleasant, S.C.
80 Justin O' Conner RHP/SS Cowan HS, Muncie, Ind.
81 Kaleb Cowart P/SS Cook County, GA
82 Rob Brantly c UC Riverside*
83 Kevin Jordan OF Northside Columbus HS GA
84 Matt Lipka SS/RHP McKinney (Fla.) HS
85 Blake Forsythe C Tennessee
86 John Gast LHP Florida State
87 Logan Ehlers LHP Nebraska City HS
88 Marcus Littlewood SS Pineview HS, UT
89 Jesus Valdez RHP Oxnard CA
90 Cayle Shambaugh P Jay HS, OK
91 Alex Ramsay C/1B Severna Park Md.
92 Jesse Biddle LHP Germantown School, Philadelphia
93 Zach Lee RHP McKinney (Fla.) HS
94 BJ Guinn 2B Cal
95 Daniel Palka 1B Greer HS, SC
96 Andrew Smith P Roswell GA
97 Jesse Hahn RHP Virginia Tech
98 Kevin Gelinas P Conejo, CA
99 Evan Hudson RHP Bothell HS, Bothwell, WA
100 Evan Rutckyj P St. Joespeh HS, Ontario
101 Angelo Gumbs OF Torrance HS, CA
102 Evan Grills P Simclair SS Ontario
103 Derek Dietrich SS/3B Georgia Tech
104 Joc Pederson OF Palo Alto HS
105 Tanner Robles LHP Oregon State
106 Cody Buckel RHP Royal HS, Simi Valley, Calif.
107 Troy Scott 1B U of Washington
108 Austin Kubitza RHP Colleyville Heritage HS, Texas
109 Michael Botolotti 2B Milton HS
110 Aaron Sanchez P Barstow, HS
111 Hunter Morris 1B Auburn
112 Jarrett Parker of Virginia
113 Josh Rutledge SS Alabama
114 Asher Wojciechowski P The Citadel
115 Colin Walsh 2B Stanford
116 Colby Suggs RHP Sulpher Springs HS, TX
117 Conrad Gregor 1B Carmel HS, IND
118 Jeff Emens RHP Missouri
119 Nick Crawford 2B UAB
120 Chad Lewis 3B Marina HS, Huntington Beach, Calif.
121 Daniel Child P Jesuit HS, Sacramento
122 Kyle Parker OF Clemson
123 Zane Evans C Roswell GA
124 Leon Landry OF LSU
125 Michael Lorenzen RHP/OF Union HS, Fullerton, CA
126 Kevin Jacob P Georgia Tech
127 Peter Tago P Dana Hills Hs, CA
128 Blake Dean OF LSU
129 Mike Olt SS Connecticut
130 AJ Berglund P St. Francis High, CA
131 Deshun Dixon OF/RHP Terry HS, Jackson, Miss
132 Jack Armstrong RHP Vanderbilt
133 Bobby Wahl P West Springfield HS, VA
134 Chavez Clarke OF Marietta GA
135 Jake Thompson RHP Long Beach State
136 Mickey Wiswall 1B Boston College
137 Jack Cole RHP Sahuaro HS, Tucson, AZ
138 Scott Alexander LHP Pepperdine
139 Michael Choice OF Texas-Arlington
140 Cory Hahn OF Mater Dei HS, Santa Ana, Calif.
141 Nicholas Frey SS The Woodlands HS, TX
142 Ross Wilson 3B Alabama
143 Pierre LaPage 2B Uconn
144 Hunter May P Hopewell HS
145 Ryan Ford 1B Plano West HS, Texas
146 Jabari Blash OF Miami-Dade CC
147 Drew Vettleson OF Central Kitsap HS
148 James Harris SS Etowah HS, GA
149 Krey Bratsen OF Bryan HS, Texas
150 AJ Griffin P San Diego

Friday, September 18, 2009

International League Top 50

Just posted this on Project prospect forum...figured I'd put it here to.

Here is my statistical analysis rankings of the IL. It is based on a lot of different factors but this is what I have for now. I have not put my own personal spin on this yet, just numbers. I just pulled this off my spreadsheet. Let me know what you think.

1 Chris Tillman , P , BAL
2 Tommy Hanson , P , ATL
3 Andrew Mccutchen , OF , PIT
4 Micheal Brantley , OF , CLE
5 Wade Davis , P , TB
6 Austin Jackson , OF , NYY
7 Clay Buchholz , P , BOS
8 Carlos Carrasco , P , CLE
9 Matt Maloney , P , CIN
10 Michael Bowden , P , BOS
11 Fernando Martinez , OF , NYM
12 Jon Niese , P , NYM
13 Jeremy Hellickson , P , TB
14 Carlos Torres , P , CHW
15 Daniel Mccutchen , P , PIT
16 Matt Laporta , 1B , CLE
17 Luis Valbuena , 2B , CLE
18 Matt Wieters , C , BAL
19 Jose Mijares , P , MIN
20 Chris Lambert , P , DET
21 Wilkin Ramirez , OF , DET
22 Kris Medlen , P , ATL
23 Kevin Mulvey , P , MIN
24 Reid Brignac , SS , TB
25 Neil Walker , 3B , PIT
26 Jake Arrieta , P , BAL
27 Marco Estrada , P , WSH
28 Nolan Reimold , OF , BAL
29 Lou Marson , C , PHI
30 Trevor Plouffe , SS , MIN
31 Mark Melancon , P , NYY
32 Sam Lecure , P , CIN
33 Todd Redmond , P , ATL
34 Craig Albernaz , P , TB
35 Ross Detwiler , P , WSH
36 Lucas French , P , DET
37 Andrew Carpenter , P , PHI
38 Justin Maxwell , OF , WSH
39 Anthony Swarzak , P , MIN
40 John Martin , P , WSH
41 Danny Valencia , 3B , MIN
42 David Hernandez , P , BAL
43 Chris Valaika , SS , CIN
44 Jensen Lewis , P , CLE
45 Kyle Kendrick , P , PHI
46 Trevor Crowe , OF , CLE
47 Justin Turner , 2B , BAL
48 Ryan Perry , P , DET
49 Luis Valdez , P , ATL
50 Tyler Clippard , P , WSH

Hak Ju Lee

I just ran the newest version of my ranking system and one man that was near the top of the list, actually 4th, was Hak Ju Lee. He is a bit of a mystery to me but everything I have read says he could be a great SS. He had TJ surgery in the offseason and I have no word on his recovery, but prior to it, he had a great arm and played SS most games this year, so it must be ok. He has 80 speed and has a solid hit tool. That is shown with his .330 avg in SS ball as an 18 yr old this season. He had a .399 obp and had a solid bb/k rate. He didn't hit for great power and his BABIP was high, although it was consistently high. He is one of those guys I have a very strong feeling he'll be a player. I've heard Ichiro comps, Derek Jeter comps, and I guess I don't have anything different. He is one of those guys I have a lot of confidence in. I would suggest picking him up if you are in a dynasty league that has over 10 minor league slots.

If you would like to see him take a few swings head over here:

http://www.prospecttube.com/video/hakju-lee-bp

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

If you couldn't tell

I've been pre-occupied with other things and have not been updating the draft reports. I may continue I may not. If you would like me too, just leave a comment and let me know.
I am working on my top prospects for the 2010 draft and also on the next version of my top 2000(or so) list.
I'll post it soon and will work on it throughout the off-season.

Sunday, September 6, 2009

Top Cape Cod Prospects

These are strictly statistical ratings using my formula. Scouting reports on some of these guys from BA can be found here:
http://www.baseballamerica.com/online/college/summer-scene/summer-league-top-prospects/2009/268805.html

Batters
1 Todd Cunningham
2 Pierre LePage
3 Blake Kelso
4 Gary Brown
5 Alex Hassan
6 Kyle Roller
7 Jackie Bradley
8 Ryan Cuneo
9 Trent Mummey
10 Austin Wates
11 Nick Crawford
12 Chris Bisson
13 Scott Woodward
14 Jedd Gyorko
15 Whit Merrifield
16 Scott Lawson
17 Jordan Casas
18 Jaren Matthews
19 Steve Chatwood
20 Jarrett Parker
21 Chris O'Brien
22 Ryan Lockwood
23 Cody Hawn
24 Riccio Torrez
25 Robert Kral
26 Dean Green
27 Robert Segedin
28 George Springer
29 Johnny Ruettiger
30 Brett Eibner

Pitchers
1 Chris Sale
2 Tyler Lyons
3 Jake Buchanan
4 Jorge Reyes
5 Chad Bell
6 Daniel Tillman
7 Tyler Wilson
8 Jimmy Reyes
9 Justin Grimm
10 Patrick Cooper
11 Casey Gaynor
12 Eric Jokisch
13 Rob Rasmussen
14 Blake Monar
15 Nick Tepesch
16 Caleb Cotham
17 Matt Lujan
18 Kyle Blair
19 Aaron Meade
20 Jay Brown
21 Seth Maness
22 Mike Gipson
23 Logan Billbrough
24 Mark Gormley
25 Mark Pope
26 Elliot Glynn
27 Bryan Morgado
28 Eric Cantrell
29 Taylor Hill
30 Steven Maxwell

I don't love these but it's pretty tough to do a deep statistical analysis on a short season league, but this is what I've got. Let me know what you think.