Friday, November 6, 2009

Baltimore Orioles' Top 40 Prospects

1 Brian Matusz , P , BAL
Matusz was the 2nd pick in the 2008 draft and has done nothing to show that he shouldn't have been. He already made his big league debut and looks to be a lock in the Orioles rotation in 2010.
2 Jake Arrieta , P , BAL
Arrieta occasionally shows the stuff to be a frontline starter but looks like a #3 behind Matusz and Tillman unless he can gain consistency. He should start 2010 in AAA to work on that.
3 Josh Bell , 3B , BAL
Bell was acquired mid season for George Sherill. He was having a decent season before the trade and really picked it up afterwards. He projects as a middle of the order bat if he can keep it up.
4 Zach Britton , P , BAL
Britton is a sinkerballer with a great groundball rate and has a good strikeout rate. That is the formula for a top pitcher. 131 K's, 55 BB's in 140 IP.
5 Brandon Snyder , 1B , BAL
Snyder had a great season in AA hitting .343/.421/.597 , but lost his power in AAA. He needs to find his swing in AAA before making an impact in the Bigs.
6 Matt Hobgood , P , BAL
Hobgood didn't excel in his first run at pro ball but didn't embarrass himself either. He has a lot of refining to do but has a lot of upside too.
7 Brandon Erbe , P , BAL
Erbe pitched well in AA this season but still needs to cut down on walks. He only allowed 44 hits in 73 innings so he was effectively wild. He has some shoulder concerns but it shouldn't hinder him next season.
8 Xavier Avery , OF , BAL
Avery is raw and athletic. He stole 30 bases this year and did well in low A for his age. He hasn't hit for power yet and has poor plate discipline, but he has time. He is at least 3 years away from making an impact.
9 LJ Hoes , 2B , BAL
Hoes struggled in his full season debut. His plate discipline seemingly regressed but it looks as if he is now a full time 2B. He stole 20 bases but didn't hit for power. A raw 2008 pick out of high school, he is also 3+ years away.
10 Kam Mickolio , P , BAL
Mickolio had another strong season in relief in AAA. I think he as proven himself there and just needs an opportunity in the big leagues. He could be a sleeper for the closer job in Baltimore in 2010.
11 Caleb Joseph , C , BAL
Joseph had a good season in the Cal league hitting 12 HR's in 104 games. He has decent plate discipline but could walk more. He could be a big league backup.
12 Bobby Bundy , P , BAL
Bundy was talked to be a potential 1st rounder in 2008, but fell to the 8th due to signability and injury(ACL). He didn't pitch well in rookie ball giving up 6 hr's in 54 IP. He also didn't strike many guys out. He will be interesting to watch next season.
13 Jacob Cowan , P , BAL
Cowan fell all the way to the 10th round this year when he could have been a 3rd rounder if his stuff was there. He has arm issues, but I don't think they will be long term. He is a personal favorite.
14 Michael Ohlman , C , BAL
Ohlman only played in games this summer after siging late but was one of Baltimores late round bank busters. Ohlman has a lot of pop and may end up in a corner, whether that is in the IF or OF. He is athletic enough to play 3B and could hit enough for that spot.
15 Brandon Waring , 3B , BAL
Waring's main asset is his power hitting 27 HR's this season, but he was old for the league and struck out a lot. He needs to do it at a higher level before I belive he can be an MLB player.
16 Cameron Coffey , P , BAL
Coffey was on his way to being a 1st rounder until he blew out his elbow. He had TJ surgery and the O's took the chance and signed him. It is reminiscent of Nick Adenhart's(R.I.P.) story.
17 Cole McCurry , P , BAL
Mccurry was a 43rd round pick in 2007, so he isn't a hyped guy, but his 145:46 K/BB got my attention. He was old for low A ball but could be a sleeper.
18 Troy Patton , P , BAL
Patton was a top prospect for the Astors a long time ago, so it seems, but has had shoulder surgery. He seemed to be on his game in AA this season, but fell apart in AAA. I am not real confident in him at this point.
19 Jesse Beal , P , BAL
Beal was an innings eater in rookie ball this year and walked next to no one. His K rate is very low so I don't expect this to continue in higher leagues.
20 Mychal Givens , SS , BAL
Givens has a rocket for an arm and was a draft prospect as a pitcher. The O's put him at SS. He'll make his pro debut in spring. He has a Shawon Dunston-like ceiling.
21 Oliver Drake , P , BAL
22 Brett Jacobson , P , BAL
23 Chorye Spoone , P , BAL
24 Matt Angle , OF , BAL
25 Nicholas Haughian , P , BAL
26 Kenneth Moreland , P , BAL
27 Ryan Berry , P , BAL
28 Billy Rowell , 3B , BAL
29 Justin Turner , 2B , BAL
30 Daurin Tavarez , P , BAL
31 Tyler Townsend , 1B , BAL
32 Angel Cespedes , P , BAL
33 Aaron Wirsch , P , BAL
34 Patrick Kantakevich , P , BAL
35 Travis Keating , P , BAL
36 Brenden Webb , OF , BAL
37 Tyler Kelly 2B BAL
38 Kyle Hudson , OF , BAL
39 Greg Miclat , SS , BAL
40 Pedro Beato , P , BAL

16 comments:

  1. How can you have a list to 40 without Luis Lebron or Steve Johnson. Lebron throws high 90's and Johnson was teriffic this year at 21 years old in AA?

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  2. With the Dodgers, Johnson was rated #15 going into the season. He had a great season and is young for AA.

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  3. That rating for Johnson was with Baseball America

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  4. I think you overrated Avery and Hoes

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  5. Sorry, I still had Johnson on LA. He'd be mid 20's and he did well in Low A, but gave up a lot of hits at High A but his K rate was good. He didn't pitch in AA.
    Are we talking about the same Luis Lebron? 27 BB in 19 IP in rookie ball and short season at 23 yrs old. He's 126th on my Baltimore list.
    I may have overrated Avery and Hoes, but there weren't a lot of guys screaming at me to go above them. Maybe Mickolio, but that's about it.

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  6. No, Johnson and Lebron both did VERY well in AA. What stats are you looking at?

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  7. Oops. Somehow I ended up looking at their 2008 stats. My rankings used their 2009 stats though. I just popped their stats up on baseballamerica after I saw your comment and evidently it went to their 2008 stats.
    Considering last season for Lebron, he will need to do it again to move up my list. He is definately one to watch. Thanks for bringing to my attention.
    Johnson would actually be 17th on the O's if I'd repost it.

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  8. Honestly, do you do any research while making these write-ups? Brian Matusz was picked 4th overall. In the Rangers list, you have Thomas Diamond listed. He was DFAed by the Rangers during the season.

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  9. What else do I have wrong? Keep going, I need an editor the way I type.
    Diamond has been covered in the comments, Cubs, got it. Matusz was a typo. Not the first, not the last.
    My spreadsheet has 5815 players on it. I'm sure there are a few that have moved to another squad. Minor league free agents, rule 5 coming up. It's not perfect. Nobody is.

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  10. Matt, I saw Josh Bell play down in Arizona two games. Wow! He is going to be good. Maybe a little pull happy, but just strong and a good all around hitter. He's a big guy! Not real fast. Very solid glove. Open stance. He looks legit!

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  11. Hey Seth,
    I heard that his defense is really getting better. I wish I could have made it down there, maybe next year.
    Thanks for the scouting report. Anybody else really catch your eye?

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  12. Check out my orioles top 20 list

    http://www.oriolesprospects.com

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  13. Not a bad list.
    http://www.oriolesprospects.com

    Surprised to not see Mickolio on the list. I can't see Rowell ahead of Hobgood at this point, but we'll see. I don't have any better crystal ball than you.

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  14. I just didnt add him on as a prospect.

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  15. where is joe mahoney listed.a 6'7 left hand hitting ib only 23 years old

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